MLB · NL Central

Nathaniel Lowe

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cincinnati RedsDHBats: L · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Elite power and contact quality.

Prop hit rates

How often Nathaniel Lowe has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    50%57%53%
  • Over 1.5
    20%20%20%
  • Over 2.5
    0%0%0%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    0%10%13%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    30%33%33%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    10%20%21%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    0%13%15%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.252

OBP

.340

SLG

.474

OPS

.814

HR

9

K%

24%

Last 10: 7-for-26 (.269) · 0 HR · 7 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 194 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.443
91
Avg Exit V
88.6 mph
51
Barrel %
11.4%
80
Hard-Hit %
43.9%
41
Chase %
25.6%
74
Whiff %
16.8%
82
K %
23.7%
38
BB %
11.9%
83

Where he hits it

8%LF16%LCF15%CF19%RCF27%RFPull →

50%

Pull

25%

Center

24%

Oppo

Pull-air 41% of BIP · 96.8 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.056OPS18 PA
vs RHP.895OPS176 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

1 pitch · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Sinker9.000.000.26312.5%11.1%25.0%0.0%85.1 mph3.1°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.376
xSLG
.669
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
112.7
EV90
106.7
Launch angle
13.8°
Sweet-spot%
42.3%
Avg distance
345 ft
EV on barrels
105.2
EV on hard-hit
102.7
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
62.1%
O-Contact%
72.7%
Z-Contact%
88.0%
Contact%
83.2%
SwStr%
7.1%
CSW%
26.6%
In-zone%
47.2%
1st-pitch swing%
22.7%
2-strike K%
42.4%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.341
7d K%
31.6%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
14.3%
14d xwOBA(con)
.327
14d K%
20.6%
14d Barrel%
0.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.325
30d K%
21.4%
30d Barrel%
4.8%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.356
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.548
Behind xwOBA(con)
.395
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.379
Ahead Whiff%
14.3%
2-strike Whiff%
19.1%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.339
RISP
.398
Loaded
.417
High leverage
.391
Clutch
.392
Innings 1-3
.422
Innings 4-6
.459
Innings 7+
.441

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nathaniel Lowe OVER 0.5 Hits

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets · May 27, 2026 · -155

WIN

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