MLB · NL Central

Nico Hoerner

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs2BBats: R · Throws: R
FormColdPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Cooling off over the last ten.

At a glance

AVG

.235↓

OBP

.313

SLG

.328

OPS

.641

HR

4

K%

7%

Last 10: 7-for-43 (.163) · 0 HR · 5 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 342 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.308
16
Avg Exit V
85.8 mph
22
Barrel %
1.1%
3
Hard-Hit %
30.6%
7
Chase %
30.6%
45
Whiff %
10.1%
99
K %
7.3%
100
BB %
9.4%
61

Where he hits it

19%LF22%LCF22%CF17%RCF15%RF← Pull

35%

Pull

35%

Center

30%

Oppo

Pull-air 23% of BIP · 85.6 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.773OPS95 PA
vs RHP.588OPS247 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball7.000.000.20310.7%14.3%14.3%0.0%84.5 mph5.4°
Changeup10.000.000.27317.9%20.0%30.0%0.0%86.0 mph24.3°
Slider17.370.487.27817.2%0.0%24.4%0.0%79.6 mph9.4°
Four-seam33.249.281.3147.3%6.1%36.7%0.0%88.0 mph13.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.317
xSLG
.402
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
105.8
EV90
100.1
Launch angle
12.0°
Sweet-spot%
36.6%
Avg distance
249 ft
EV on barrels
98.7
EV on hard-hit
99.1
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
57.0%
O-Contact%
77.6%
Z-Contact%
97.1%
Contact%
89.9%
SwStr%
4.4%
CSW%
24.7%
In-zone%
47.7%
1st-pitch swing%
18.4%
2-strike K%
17.4%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.280
7d K%
16.0%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
12.0%
14d xwOBA(con)
.289
14d K%
10.0%
14d Barrel%
0.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.293
30d K%
7.0%
30d Barrel%
0.0%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.340
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.298
Behind xwOBA(con)
.284
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.292
Ahead Whiff%
8.0%
2-strike Whiff%
8.1%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.293
RISP
.298
Loaded
.180
High leverage
.311
Clutch
.303
Innings 1-3
.289
Innings 4-6
.332
Innings 7+
.306

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nico Hoerner OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs · Jun 16, 2026 · +165

LOSS

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