MLB · NL West
Rafael Devers
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

The read
Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.
Prop hit rates
How often Rafael Devers has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.570%60%64%
- Over 1.530%27%26%
- Over 2.50%3%1%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▲ hot30%20%14%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.5▲ hot50%50%41%
- Over 2.5▲ hot50%37%27%
- Over 3.5▲ hot40%30%19%
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At a glance
AVG
.236
OBP
.296
SLG
.432
OPS
.729
HR
11
K%
30%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 324 PA.
Where he hits it
42%
Pull
32%
Center
26%
Oppo
Pull-air 27% of BIP · 96.2 mph · 37° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
5 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers
| Pitch | PA↑ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 13 | .100 | .100 | .287 | 19.2% | 30.8% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 91.7 mph | -6.8° |
| Cutter | 26 | .455 | .818 | .325 | 29.8% | 23.1% | 44.4% | 5.6% | 91.5 mph | 19.4° |
| Slider | 26 | .208 | .500 | .304 | 29.2% | 26.9% | 26.3% | 15.8% | 83.8 mph | 13.9° |
| Changeup | 44 | .302 | .512 | .362 | 16.5% | 13.6% | 52.6% | 10.5% | 92.6 mph | 8.8° |
| Four-seam | 94 | .221 | .430 | .274 | 34.1% | 41.5% | 59.2% | 12.2% | 94.6 mph | 22.2° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.