MLB · NL West
Rafael Devers
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

The read
Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.
Prop hit rates
How often Rafael Devers has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.570%60%64%
- Over 1.530%27%26%
- Over 2.50%3%1%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▲ hot30%20%14%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.5▲ hot50%50%41%
- Over 2.5▲ hot50%37%27%
- Over 3.5▲ hot40%30%19%
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At a glance
AVG
.236
OBP
.296
SLG
.432
OPS
.729
HR
11
K%
30%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 324 PA.
Where he hits it
42%
Pull
32%
Center
26%
Oppo
Pull-air 27% of BIP · 96.2 mph · 37° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
6 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands
| Pitch | PA↓ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam | 48 | .158 | .290 | .340 | 38.5% | 37.5% | 52.9% | 14.6% | 94.9 mph | 29.4° |
| Slider | 18 | .167 | .444 | .287 | 33.8% | 22.2% | 35.6% | 14.8% | 86.1 mph | 21.1° |
| Changeup | 14 | .429 | .786 | .402 | 10.7% | 21.4% | 65.7% | 8.6% | 96.0 mph | 9.3° |
| Sinker | 11 | .218 | .655 | .254 | 10.2% | 45.5% | 86.4% | 13.6% | 100.2 mph | 13.0° |
| Cutter | 7 | .667 | 1.500 | .415 | 26.7% | 0.0% | 83.3% | 0.0% | 96.9 mph | 15.5° |
| Curveball | 6 | .000 | .000 | .364 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 66.7% | 0.0% | 100.4 mph | -2.3° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.