MLB · AL East

Willson Contreras

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red Sox1BBats: R · Throws: R
FormColdPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Willson Contreras has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    60%67%66%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    10%37%25%
  • Over 2.5
    10%10%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    10%17%20%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    30%50%41%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    10%30%28%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    10%23%24%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.278↓

OBP

.371

SLG

.516

OPS

.888

HR

16

K%

26%

Last 10: 8-for-38 (.211) · 2 HR · 14 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 318 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.454
94
Avg Exit V
89.8 mph
69
Barrel %
13.0%
86
Hard-Hit %
56.8%
88
Chase %
34.6%
23
Whiff %
29.2%
16
K %
25.8%
28
BB %
8.8%
53

Where he hits it

24%LF31%LCF13%CF15%RCF6%RF← Pull

53%

Pull

25%

Center

21%

Oppo

Pull-air 37% of BIP · 102.6 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.982OPS80 PA
vs RHP.856OPS238 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

2 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Slider9.333.500.59425.0%11.1%33.3%33.3%80.8 mph20.0°
Changeup23.318.727.40237.0%30.4%52.9%29.4%92.1 mph9.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.369
xSLG
.692
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
113.2
EV90
108.6
Launch angle
17.3°
Sweet-spot%
34.9%
Avg distance
307 ft
EV on barrels
106.7
EV on hard-hit
102.9
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
67.7%
O-Contact%
49.6%
Z-Contact%
84.0%
Contact%
70.8%
SwStr%
14.4%
CSW%
29.0%
In-zone%
44.8%
1st-pitch swing%
40.4%
2-strike K%
46.3%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.257
7d K%
24.1%
7d Barrel%
5.3%
7d Whiff%
31.3%
14d xwOBA(con)
.330
14d K%
28.8%
14d Barrel%
3.2%
30d xwOBA(con)
.374
30d K%
26.2%
30d Barrel%
7.7%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.448
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.429
Behind xwOBA(con)
.423
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.419
Ahead Whiff%
27.1%
2-strike Whiff%
27.0%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.384
RISP
.420
Loaded
.175
High leverage
.373
Clutch
.489
Innings 1-3
.374
Innings 4-6
.496
Innings 7+
.487

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.