MLB · AL East

Willson Contreras

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red Sox1BBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Willson Contreras has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    60%67%65%
  • Over 1.5
    20%40%25%
  • Over 2.5
    10%10%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    10%17%20%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    30%50%40%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    20%30%28%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    10%23%24%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.279

OBP

.372

SLG

.521

OPS

.893

HR

16

K%

26%

Last 10: 10-for-38 (.263) · 3 HR · 14 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 309 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.460
94
Avg Exit V
90.1 mph
74
Barrel %
13.0%
87
Hard-Hit %
57.3%
89
Chase %
34.1%
25
Whiff %
29.6%
14
K %
26.2%
26
BB %
8.7%
52

Where he hits it

25%LF31%LCF13%CF14%RCF7%RF← Pull

54%

Pull

25%

Center

21%

Oppo

Pull-air 38% of BIP · 102.6 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP1.002OPS74 PA
vs RHP.859OPS235 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

5 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter4.5001.000.66366.7%25.0%100.0%100.0%110.0 mph19.0°
Curveball7.000.000.16844.4%71.4%100.0%0.0%102.8 mph2.0°
Changeup16.269.731.33530.7%37.5%35.9%12.5%93.3 mph27.8°
Slider18.250.250.19036.0%27.8%33.3%0.0%83.6 mph1.2°
Four-seam37.281.402.31026.9%18.9%36.0%0.0%89.7 mph30.4°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.375
xSLG
.700
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
113.2
EV90
108.6
Launch angle
16.9°
Sweet-spot%
35.1%
Avg distance
307 ft
EV on barrels
106.9
EV on hard-hit
103.0
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
67.9%
O-Contact%
48.6%
Z-Contact%
83.6%
Contact%
70.4%
SwStr%
14.6%
CSW%
29.2%
In-zone%
45.1%
1st-pitch swing%
40.6%
2-strike K%
47.4%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.250
7d K%
40.0%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
39.4%
14d xwOBA(con)
.294
14d K%
33.3%
14d Barrel%
0.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.398
30d K%
27.5%
30d Barrel%
8.2%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.448
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.423
Behind xwOBA(con)
.431
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.441
Ahead Whiff%
27.7%
2-strike Whiff%
27.7%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.390
RISP
.416
Loaded
.175
High leverage
.379
Clutch
.489
Innings 1-3
.372
Innings 4-6
.504
Innings 7+
.497

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.