MLB · AL Central

Zach McKinstry

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Detroit Tigers2B · SPBats: L · Throws: R
FormHotPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Zach McKinstry has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    40%37%43%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    20%13%9%
  • Over 2.5
    0%0%0%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%3%4%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    30%17%17%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    30%13%9%
  • Over 3.5
    10%7%6%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.173

OBP

.260

SLG

.263

OPS

.523

HR

2

K%

18%

Last 10: 7-for-30 (.233) · 1 HR · 6 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 177 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.259
2
Avg Exit V
83.8 mph
9
Barrel %
2.4%
8
Hard-Hit %
25.2%
2
Chase %
27.8%
61
Whiff %
13.2%
94
K %
18.1%
73
BB %
10.7%
74

Where he hits it

15%LF15%LCF15%CF15%RCF29%RFPull →

44%

Pull

27%

Center

29%

Oppo

Pull-air 20% of BIP · 95.7 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.250OPS24 PA
vs RHP.558OPS153 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

4 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPABASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Changeup6.167.167.23627.3%50.0%0.0%0.0%80.6 mph21.7°
Sinker7.000.000.4730.0%0.0%35.7%17.9%96.8 mph-3.8°
Curveball8.000.000.10625.0%37.5%0.0%0.0%70.7 mph-17.2°
Four-seam26.156.364.2758.7%23.1%27.6%5.5%84.6 mph20.8°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.256
xSLG
.348
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
106.0
EV90
100.5
Launch angle
13.3°
Sweet-spot%
31.7%
Avg distance
330 ft
EV on barrels
100.9
EV on hard-hit
100.1
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
66.5%
O-Contact%
66.7%
Z-Contact%
94.6%
Contact%
86.8%
SwStr%
6.3%
CSW%
23.8%
In-zone%
51.7%
1st-pitch swing%
35.0%
2-strike K%
36.4%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.330
7d K%
15.4%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
13.0%
14d xwOBA(con)
.263
14d K%
17.1%
14d Barrel%
4.2%
30d xwOBA(con)
.246
30d K%
18.4%
30d Barrel%
4.1%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.305
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.267
Behind xwOBA(con)
.217
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.227
Ahead Whiff%
10.8%
2-strike Whiff%
16.1%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.293
RISP
.352
Loaded
.180
High leverage
.291
Clutch
.408
Innings 1-3
.233
Innings 4-6
.268
Innings 7+
.274

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Attack zones

0%50%50%0%

0%

Heart

0%

Shadow

50%

Chase

50%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 3.5 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date
Expected & ratesnot in the panels above
xwOBA allowed
.000
1st-pitch strike%
0.0%
Recent formlast 5 starts
L5 ERA
0.00
L5 FIP
3.10
L5 K/9
0.0
L5 BB/9
0.0
L5 HR/9
0.0
Pitches/start
2.0
Platoon & times-through
vs RHB xwOBA
.000
1st time xwOBA
.000
Inn 7+ ERA
0.00
Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo
7d xwOBA
.000
7d K%
0.0%
7d velo
36.0
14d xwOBA
.000
14d K%
0.0%
30d xwOBA
.000
30d K%
0.0%
30d velo
36.0

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.