At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
77.8
▲ L5 88.6
Rec/g
6.8
▲ L5 7.8
Tgt/g
8.4
▲ L5 9.8
Rec TD/g
0.67
▼ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 83% | 100% | 80% | 88% |
| 49.5 | 72% | 80% | 60% | 88% |
| 59.5 | 67% | 80% | 60% | 75% |
| 69.5 | 50% | 60% | 60% | 38% |
| 79.5 | 28% | 20% | 40% | 13% |
| 89.5 | 28% | 20% | 40% | 13% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 94% | 100% | 90% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 89% | 100% | 80% | 100% |
| 4.5 | 83% | 100% | 80% | 88% |
| 5.5 | 72% | 80% | 60% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 44% | 40% | 40% | 50% |
| 7.5 | 33% | 40% | 40% | 25% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 89% | 100% | 90% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 72% | 80% | 60% | 88% |
| 8.5 | 28% | 40% | 40% | 13% |
| 10.5 | 17% | 20% | 30% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
22%
Air-yards share
33%
Rec EPA/game
4.7
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
86.8
10 g
Away
66.5
8 g
In wins
63.4
15 g
In losses
149.7
3 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs WAS | L 31-45 | +8.5 | 55.5 | 10 | 8 | 137 | 0 | 89 | 61 | 26% |
| 1 | vs LA | W 26-20 | +5 | 54 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 21% |
| 2 | vs TB | L 16-20 | +7.5 | 51.5 | 18 | 11 | 119 | 0 | 170 | 29 | 34% |
| 3 | @ ARI | W 20-13 | +3 | 51.5 | 8 | 7 | 75 | 1 | 62 | 16 | 36% |
| 4 | vs SEA | W 42-29 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 1 | 30 | 15 | 32% |
| 6 | @ DAL | W 47-9 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 1 | 18 | 19 | 15% |
| 7 | @ MIN | W 31-29 | -1 | 50.5 | 8 | 8 | 112 | 1 | 87 | 25 | 32% |
| 8 | vs TEN | W 52-14 | +12.5 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 11% |
| 9 | @ GB | W 24-14 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 7 | 7 | 56 | 1 | 36 | 20 | 35% |
| 10 | @ HOU | W 26-23 | +4.5 | 49 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 1 | 29 | 36 | 33% |
| 11 | vs JAX | W 52-6 | +14 | 47.5 | 11 | 11 | 161 | 2 | 103 | 58 | 35% |
| 12 | @ IND | W 24-6 | +7 | 50.5 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 0 | 70 | 21 | 21% |
| 13 | vs CHI | W 23-20 | +9.5 | 47.5 | 7 | 5 | 73 | 0 | 91 | 15 | 23% |
| 14 | vs GB | W 34-31 | +3 | 53 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 44 | 12 | 15% |
| 15 | vs BUF | L 42-48 | +2.5 | 55.5 | 18 | 14 | 193 | 1 | 139 | 72 | 33% |
| 16 | @ CHI | W 34-17 | +7 | 47.5 | 8 | 6 | 70 | 1 | 53 | 35 | 25% |
| 17 | @ SF | W 40-34 | +4 | 50.5 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 1 | 59 | 15 | 30% |
| 18 | vs MIN | W 31-9 | +3 | 56.5 | 7 | 6 | 77 | 0 | 56 | 17 | 22% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).