At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
94.2
▲ L5 94.6
Rec/g
7.4
▼ L5 7.0
Tgt/g
10.4
▼ L5 9.8
Rec TD/g
0.58
▲ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 95% | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| 49.5 | 89% | 80% | 100% | 80% |
| 59.5 | 84% | 80% | 100% | 70% |
| 69.5 | 84% | 80% | 100% | 70% |
| 79.5 | 68% | 80% | 78% | 60% |
| 89.5 | 63% | 80% | 78% | 50% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 95% | 100% | 100% | 90% |
| 3.5 | 89% | 80% | 100% | 80% |
| 4.5 | 89% | 80% | 100% | 80% |
| 5.5 | 84% | 80% | 100% | 70% |
| 6.5 | 63% | 60% | 78% | 50% |
| 7.5 | 42% | 20% | 44% | 40% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 95% | 100% | 100% | 90% |
| 8.5 | 74% | 60% | 89% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 20% | 44% | 40% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
32%
Air-yards share
55%
Rec EPA/game
6.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
103.0
9 g
Away
86.2
10 g
In wins
99.4
13 g
In losses
82.8
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs LA | W 24-23 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 9 | 7 | 110 | 0 | 63 | 54 | 35% |
| 20* | vs TB | W 31-23 | +6 | 49.5 | 14 | 8 | 77 | 1 | 97 | 34 | 33% |
| 21* | @ SF | L 31-34 | -7.5 | 52.5 | 11 | 7 | 87 | 0 | 90 | 35 | 28% |
| 1 | @ KC | W 21-20 | -4 | 53 | 9 | 6 | 71 | 1 | 60 | 20 | 28% |
| 2 | vs SEA | L 31-37 | +4.5 | 47.5 | 7 | 6 | 102 | 0 | 84 | 24 | 21% |
| 3 | vs ATL | W 20-6 | +3 | 47.5 | 12 | 9 | 102 | 0 | 101 | 38 | 39% |
| 4 | @ GB | W 34-20 | +2.5 | 45 | 7 | 5 | 56 | 1 | 62 | 14 | 26% |
| 6 | @ TB | W 20-6 | +3 | 43.5 | 15 | 12 | 124 | 1 | 66 | 67 | 37% |
| 7 | @ BAL | L 6-38 | -3 | 43.5 | 19 | 13 | 102 | 0 | 122 | 26 | 39% |
| 8 | vs LV | W 26-14 | +7 | 46 | 9 | 6 | 108 | 0 | 67 | 53 | 26% |
| 10 | @ LAC | W 41-38 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 9 | 8 | 156 | 1 | 114 | 70 | 28% |
| 11 | vs CHI | W 31-26 | +8 | 48 | 11 | 8 | 77 | 1 | 58 | 30 | 34% |
| 12 | vs GB | L 22-29 | +8.5 | 47 | 11 | 9 | 95 | 0 | 97 | 42 | 26% |
| 13 | @ NO | W 33-28 | +4 | 47.5 | 6 | 2 | 49 | 1 | 51 | 26 | 24% |
| 14 | @ CHI | L 13-28 | +3 | 44.5 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 50 | 23 | 24% |
| 15 | vs DEN | W 42-17 | +5.5 | 49 | 9 | 7 | 112 | 1 | 72 | 62 | 28% |
| 16 | @ MIN | W 30-24 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 14 | 12 | 106 | 1 | 54 | 58 | 36% |
| 17 | @ DAL | L 19-20 | -5.5 | 53 | 8 | 6 | 90 | 1 | 75 | 33 | 25% |
| 18 | vs MIN | W 30-20 | +3.5 | 47.5 | 10 | 7 | 144 | 1 | 138 | 82 | 32% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).