At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
223.9
▼ L5 170.4
Pass TD/g
1.11
▲ L5 1.20
Comp/g
19.8
▼ L5 17.2
Att/g
31.2
▼ L5 27.2
INT/g
0.68
▼ L5 0.60
Rush yds/g
16.7
▼ L5 8.2
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 68% | 40% | 78% | 60% |
| 224.5 | 63% | 40% | 78% | 50% |
| 249.5 | 32% | 0% | 56% | 10% |
| 274.5 | 21% | 0% | 44% | 0% |
| 299.5 | 11% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 80% | 89% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 40% | 33% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 79% | 60% | 89% | 70% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 40% | 67% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 40% | 56% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 21% | 0% | 33% | 10% |
| 25.5 | 11% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 47% | 40% | 56% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 20% | 22% | 20% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
5.3
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
255.3
9 g
Away
195.6
10 g
In wins
237.2
11 g
In losses
205.6
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs LAC | W 32-12 | -3 | 41.5 | 22 | 33 | 282 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 317 | 1.1 |
| 20* | @ KC | L 14-23 | -9.5 | 41.5 | 19 | 28 | 245 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 270 | 1.0 |
| 1 | @ IND | W 29-27 | +3 | 49 | 24 | 32 | 234 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 252 | 7.5 |
| 2 | vs CHI | W 19-13 | +6 | 45.5 | 23 | 36 | 260 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 277 | 1.6 |
| 3 | @ MIN | L 7-34 | +2 | 46 | 20 | 31 | 215 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 204 | -8.8 |
| 4 | vs JAX | W 24-20 | +5.5 | 44.5 | 27 | 40 | 345 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 322 | 14.3 |
| 5 | vs BUF | W 23-20 | +1 | 48 | 28 | 38 | 331 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 6.2 |
| 6 | @ NE | W 41-21 | +6.5 | 38.5 | 20 | 31 | 192 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 266 | 2.6 |
| 7 | @ GB | L 22-24 | -3 | 48 | 10 | 21 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 153 | -11.4 |
| 8 | vs IND | W 23-20 | +5 | 45 | 25 | 37 | 285 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 278 | 5.5 |
| 9 | @ NYJ | L 13-21 | -2.5 | 43.5 | 11 | 30 | 191 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 474 | -13.4 |
| 10 | vs DET | L 23-26 | -4.5 | 49 | 19 | 33 | 232 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 268 | -5.9 |
| 11 | @ DAL | W 34-10 | +7.5 | 41.5 | 23 | 34 | 257 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 170 | 6.4 |
| 12 | vs TEN | L 27-32 | +8 | 40.5 | 20 | 33 | 247 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 291 | -6.4 |
| 13 | @ JAX | W 23-20 | +3.5 | 44.5 | 22 | 34 | 242 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 293 | 2.8 |
| 15 | vs MIA | W 20-12 | +2.5 | 46.5 | 18 | 26 | 131 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 194 | -6.7 |
| 16 | @ KC | L 19-27 | -3.5 | 42.5 | 23 | 39 | 244 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 411 | 6.0 |
| 17 | vs BAL | L 2-31 | -5.5 | 46.5 | 17 | 31 | 185 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 303 | -18.9 |
| 18 | @ TEN | W 23-14 | -2.5 | 36.5 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 5.3 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).