At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
268.1
▼ L5 229.2
Pass TD/g
1.53
▼ L5 1.20
Comp/g
20.8
▼ L5 19.2
Att/g
32.5
▼ L5 28.8
INT/g
0.29
▼ L5 0.00
Rush yds/g
9.8
▲ L5 16.4
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 76% | 80% | 89% | 63% |
| 224.5 | 71% | 60% | 78% | 63% |
| 249.5 | 59% | 60% | 78% | 38% |
| 274.5 | 41% | 20% | 56% | 25% |
| 299.5 | 35% | 20% | 56% | 13% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 76% | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 40% | 78% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 65% | 60% | 56% | 75% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 60% | 56% | 63% |
| 21.5 | 41% | 40% | 56% | 25% |
| 23.5 | 35% | 40% | 56% | 13% |
| 25.5 | 29% | 20% | 44% | 13% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 18% | 0% | 22% | 13% |
| 1.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
12.1
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
306.7
9 g
Away
224.6
8 g
In wins
297.2
10 g
In losses
226.4
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs CLE | W 45-14 | -2.5 | 45 | 16 | 21 | 274 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 14.5 |
| 20* | @ BAL | L 10-34 | -10 | 44 | 19 | 33 | 175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 221 | -4.3 |
| 1 | @ BAL | L 9-25 | -9.5 | 43.5 | 28 | 44 | 242 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 260 | -11.2 |
| 2 | vs IND | L 20-31 | -1 | 40 | 30 | 47 | 384 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 436 | 7.3 |
| 3 | @ JAX | W 37-17 | -7.5 | 43.5 | 20 | 30 | 280 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 252 | 14.3 |
| 4 | vs PIT | W 30-6 | -3 | 41.5 | 16 | 30 | 306 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 9.8 |
| 5 | @ ATL | L 19-21 | -2.5 | 42 | 20 | 35 | 249 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 3.3 |
| 6 | vs NO | W 20-13 | -2 | 42.5 | 13 | 27 | 199 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 235 | -0.3 |
| 8 | @ CAR | L 13-15 | +3 | 43 | 16 | 24 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 179 | 2.4 |
| 9 | vs TB | W 39-37 | +2.5 | 39.5 | 30 | 42 | 470 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 463 | 28.4 |
| 10 | @ CIN | W 30-27 | -5.5 | 46 | 23 | 39 | 356 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 466 | 5.1 |
| 11 | vs ARI | W 21-16 | +5.5 | 48 | 27 | 37 | 336 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 373 | 3.8 |
| 12 | vs JAX | L 21-24 | -1 | 48 | 26 | 36 | 304 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 345 | 0.8 |
| 13 | vs DEN | W 22-17 | +3.5 | 47.5 | 16 | 27 | 274 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 286 | 1.2 |
| 14 | @ NYJ | L 6-30 | +3.5 | 33.5 | 10 | 23 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 216 | -16.4 |
| 17 | vs TEN | W 26-3 | +5 | 44 | 24 | 32 | 213 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 4.1 |
| 18 | @ IND | W 23-19 | +1.5 | 47.5 | 20 | 26 | 264 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 261 | 12.1 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).