At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
57.1
▼ L5 32.4
Rec/g
5.2
▼ L5 2.4
Tgt/g
7.7
▼ L5 4.6
Rec TD/g
0.43
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 57% | 20% | 67% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 57% | 20% | 67% | 50% |
| 59.5 | 50% | 20% | 50% | 50% |
| 69.5 | 36% | 20% | 33% | 38% |
| 79.5 | 36% | 20% | 33% | 38% |
| 89.5 | 29% | 20% | 17% | 38% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 79% | 60% | 67% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 64% | 20% | 67% | 63% |
| 4.5 | 57% | 20% | 67% | 50% |
| 5.5 | 36% | 0% | 33% | 38% |
| 6.5 | 29% | 0% | 33% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 21% | 0% | 17% | 25% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 71% | 40% | 67% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 57% | 20% | 67% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 29% | 0% | 17% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 0% | 17% | 25% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
11%
Air-yards share
15%
Rec EPA/game
-1.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
56.8
6 g
Away
57.4
8 g
In wins
50.2
9 g
In losses
69.6
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs MIN | W 27-9 | -2.5 | 47.5 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 4% |
| 20* | @ PHI | L 22-28 | -7 | 43.5 | 7 | 5 | 61 | 0 | 99 | 11 | 16% |
| 1 | @ DET | L 20-26 | -5 | 54 | 21 | 14 | 110 | 1 | 153 | 41 | 44% |
| 2 | @ ARI | L 10-41 | +1 | 47.5 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 42 | 24 | 22% |
| 8 | vs MIN | W 30-20 | -3 | 47.5 | 8 | 5 | 51 | 1 | 38 | 26 | 24% |
| 9 | @ SEA | W 26-20 | +1.5 | 48.5 | 14 | 11 | 104 | 0 | 78 | 46 | 33% |
| 10 | vs MIA | L 15-23 | +2.5 | 49.5 | 7 | 7 | 80 | 0 | 68 | 12 | 16% |
| 11 | @ NE | W 28-22 | +4 | 42.5 | 10 | 6 | 106 | 2 | 92 | 64 | 37% |
| 12 | vs PHI | L 20-37 | -3 | 49 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 1 | 54 | 23 | 32% |
| 13 | @ NO | W 21-14 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 52 | 1 | 26% |
| 14 | vs BUF | W 44-42 | -3.5 | 49.5 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 1 | 104 | 21 | 27% |
| 15 | @ SF | W 12-6 | -3 | 48.5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 12% |
| 16 | @ NYJ | W 19-9 | +3 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 16% |
| 17 | vs ARI | W 13-9 | +6.5 | 48 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 25 | 9 | 11% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).