At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
64.9
▲ L5 68.2
Rec/g
5.9
▼ L5 5.4
Tgt/g
9.0
▼ L5 7.2
Rec TD/g
0.41
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 88% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| 49.5 | 71% | 100% | 50% | 89% |
| 59.5 | 47% | 40% | 25% | 67% |
| 69.5 | 29% | 20% | 25% | 33% |
| 79.5 | 29% | 20% | 25% | 33% |
| 89.5 | 29% | 20% | 25% | 33% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 94% | 80% | 100% | 89% |
| 4.5 | 76% | 60% | 75% | 78% |
| 5.5 | 41% | 60% | 38% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 29% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| 7.5 | 18% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 76% | 60% | 88% | 67% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 20% | 50% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 22% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
14%
Air-yards share
7%
Rec EPA/game
4.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
54.4
8 g
Away
74.3
9 g
In wins
57.4
5 g
In losses
68.1
12 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ SF | L 19-32 | -3.5 | 43 | 11 | 6 | 60 | 0 | 99 | 27 | 38% |
| 2 | @ TEN | W 24-17 | +3.5 | 41.5 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 0 | 57 | 17 | 21% |
| 3 | vs NE | W 24-3 | +6.5 | 39 | 9 | 5 | 33 | 1 | 78 | 15 | 26% |
| 4 | vs DEN | L 9-10 | +7.5 | 39.5 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 51 | 14 | 20% |
| 5 | @ MIN | L 17-23 | -2.5 | 42 | 22 | 13 | 101 | 1 | 167 | 49 | 43% |
| 6 | vs BUF | L 20-23 | -1 | 42 | 10 | 8 | 107 | 1 | 66 | 58 | 29% |
| 7 | @ PIT | L 15-37 | +3 | 40 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 | 97 | 37 | 23% |
| 8 | @ NE | L 22-25 | +7 | 41 | 8 | 5 | 113 | 0 | 169 | 10 | 32% |
| 9 | vs HOU | W 21-13 | +2.5 | 43.5 | 10 | 9 | 90 | 2 | 59 | 39 | 31% |
| 10 | @ ARI | L 6-31 | +2 | 45.5 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 41 | 10 | 18% |
| 11 | vs IND | L 27-28 | +4 | 43 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 67 | 6 | 28% |
| 13 | vs SEA | L 21-26 | +1 | 41.5 | 10 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 105 | 25 | 26% |
| 14 | @ MIA | L 26-32 | -6.5 | 45 | 10 | 7 | 114 | 0 | 103 | 48 | 26% |
| 15 | @ JAX | W 32-25 | +3.5 | 41.5 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 1 | 101 | 13 | 21% |
| 16 | vs LA | L 9-19 | -3 | 47 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 0 | 49 | 9 | 17% |
| 17 | @ BUF | L 14-40 | -10 | 44.5 | 8 | 7 | 66 | 1 | 54 | 24 | 26% |
| 18 | vs MIA | W 32-20 | +1.5 | 39.5 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 15 | 41 | 14% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).