At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
61.3
▼ L5 59.4
Rec/g
5.6
▲ L5 5.6
Tgt/g
9.9
▼ L5 9.6
Rec TD/g
0.18
▼ L5 0.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 76% | 60% | 89% | 63% |
| 49.5 | 65% | 60% | 67% | 63% |
| 59.5 | 47% | 40% | 56% | 38% |
| 69.5 | 41% | 40% | 44% | 38% |
| 79.5 | 35% | 20% | 33% | 38% |
| 89.5 | 24% | 20% | 22% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 80% | 100% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 60% | 89% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 65% | 60% | 89% | 38% |
| 5.5 | 47% | 40% | 67% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 47% | 40% | 67% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 29% | 40% | 44% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 94% | 80% | 100% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 82% | 60% | 89% | 75% |
| 8.5 | 59% | 60% | 78% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 40% | 56% | 25% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
28%
Air-yards share
39%
Rec EPA/game
-0.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
65.6
9 g
Away
56.5
8 g
In wins
70.9
7 g
In losses
54.6
10 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs BUF | W 22-16 | -2.5 | 44.5 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 1 | 31 | 3 | 28% |
| 2 | @ DAL | L 10-30 | -8.5 | 38.5 | 8 | 2 | 83 | 1 | 131 | 56 | 32% |
| 3 | vs NE | L 10-15 | -2.5 | 35.5 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 0 | 49 | 24 | 32% |
| 4 | vs KC | L 20-23 | -9.5 | 41.5 | 14 | 9 | 60 | 0 | 123 | 10 | 36% |
| 5 | @ DEN | W 31-21 | -2.5 | 42.5 | 7 | 3 | 54 | 0 | 107 | 11 | 27% |
| 6 | vs PHI | W 20-14 | -6.5 | 43 | 12 | 8 | 90 | 0 | 128 | 19 | 36% |
| 8 | @ NYG | W 13-10 | +3 | 35 | 13 | 7 | 100 | 0 | 164 | 19 | 38% |
| 9 | vs LAC | L 6-27 | -3 | 41 | 13 | 7 | 80 | 0 | 165 | 23 | 27% |
| 10 | @ LV | L 12-16 | +1 | 35.5 | 14 | 9 | 93 | 0 | 123 | 46 | 38% |
| 11 | @ BUF | L 6-32 | -8 | 39.5 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 103 | 0 | 29% |
| 12 | vs MIA | L 13-34 | -9.5 | 40 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 1 | 81 | 4 | 28% |
| 13 | vs ATL | L 8-13 | -2 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 50 | 0 | 98 | 7 | 19% |
| 14 | vs HOU | W 30-6 | -3.5 | 33.5 | 14 | 9 | 108 | 0 | 162 | 16 | 40% |
| 15 | @ MIA | L 0-30 | -7.5 | 36 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 32 | 15 | 12% |
| 16 | vs WAS | W 30-28 | +3 | 36.5 | 15 | 9 | 76 | 0 | 59 | 49 | 33% |
| 17 | @ CLE | L 20-37 | -6.5 | 33.5 | 10 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 93 | 9 | 23% |
| 18 | @ NE | W 17-3 | -2.5 | 28.5 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 58 | 16 | 28% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).