At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
65.8
▼ L5 52.2
Rec/g
4.3
▼ L5 3.8
Tgt/g
7.2
▲ L5 7.6
Rec TD/g
0.27
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 80% | 80% | 71% | 88% |
| 49.5 | 73% | 60% | 71% | 75% |
| 59.5 | 53% | 40% | 43% | 63% |
| 69.5 | 53% | 40% | 43% | 63% |
| 79.5 | 40% | 20% | 29% | 50% |
| 89.5 | 20% | 0% | 14% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 87% | 80% | 86% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% | 57% | 63% |
| 4.5 | 47% | 20% | 43% | 50% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 20% | 14% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 20% | 14% | 13% |
| 7.5 | 7% | 20% | 14% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 93% | 100% | 100% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 67% | 60% | 71% | 63% |
| 8.5 | 20% | 20% | 29% | 13% |
| 10.5 | 13% | 20% | 14% | 13% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
21%
Air-yards share
43%
Rec EPA/game
-4.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
58.1
7 g
Away
72.5
8 g
In wins
73.7
9 g
In losses
54.0
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ BAL | L 14-28 | -9.5 | 44.5 | 5 | 5 | 87 | 1 | 66 | 21 | 19% |
| 1 | @ ATL | W 18-10 | -4 | 43 | 7 | 6 | 85 | 0 | 99 | 6 | 32% |
| 2 | @ DEN | W 13-6 | +3 | 36.5 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 48 | 6 | 22% |
| 3 | vs LAC | W 20-10 | +3 | 36 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 0 | 69 | 6 | 23% |
| 4 | @ IND | L 24-27 | +2.5 | 40 | 11 | 7 | 113 | 0 | 146 | 22 | 34% |
| 5 | vs DAL | L 17-20 | +2.5 | 43.5 | 7 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 60 | 19 | 27% |
| 6 | @ LV | W 32-13 | +3.5 | 36.5 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 126 | 8 | 35% |
| 7 | vs NYJ | W 37-15 | -3 | 40 | 9 | 5 | 111 | 1 | 152 | 12 | 33% |
| 8 | vs NYG | W 26-18 | +6 | 37.5 | 5 | 4 | 74 | 0 | 55 | 28 | 19% |
| 10 | @ WAS | W 28-27 | -1.5 | 45 | 7 | 5 | 91 | 1 | 124 | 25 | 27% |
| 11 | vs BAL | W 18-16 | -3 | 48 | 12 | 8 | 89 | 0 | 129 | 25 | 38% |
| 12 | @ CLE | L 19-24 | +3.5 | 36.5 | 7 | 4 | 48 | 0 | 143 | 0 | 28% |
| 13 | @ CIN | W 44-38 | -3 | 46 | 6 | 3 | 74 | 1 | 73 | 42 | 17% |
| 17 | vs KC | L 10-29 | -3 | 43.5 | 7 | 3 | 50 | 0 | 98 | 14 | 20% |
| 18 | vs CIN | L 17-19 | -2.5 | 48.5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 2 | 21% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).