At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
66.1
▲ L5 78.4
Rec/g
3.8
▲ L5 3.8
Tgt/g
6.5
▼ L5 5.6
Rec TD/g
0.28
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 61% | 60% | 56% | 67% |
| 49.5 | 50% | 40% | 44% | 56% |
| 59.5 | 39% | 40% | 44% | 33% |
| 69.5 | 39% | 40% | 44% | 33% |
| 79.5 | 33% | 40% | 44% | 22% |
| 89.5 | 28% | 40% | 33% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 83% | 80% | 78% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 60% | 67% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 40% | 33% | 33% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 20% | 11% | 11% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 89% | 80% | 89% | 89% |
| 6.5 | 44% | 40% | 33% | 56% |
| 8.5 | 22% | 20% | 22% | 22% |
| 10.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
43%
Air-yards share
66%
Rec EPA/game
4.9
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
73.2
9 g
Away
59.0
9 g
In wins
86.7
10 g
In losses
40.4
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ BUF | L 17-31 | -10 | 39.5 | 11 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 120 | 2 | 29% |
| 1 | vs SF | L 7-30 | -1.5 | 41.5 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 85 | 10 | 16% |
| 2 | vs CLE | W 26-22 | -2.5 | 39 | 10 | 4 | 127 | 1 | 102 | 69 | 34% |
| 3 | @ LV | W 23-18 | -3 | 43.5 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 0 | 51 | 37 | 22% |
| 4 | @ HOU | L 6-30 | +3 | 41.5 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 62 | 3 | 26% |
| 5 | vs BAL | W 17-10 | -4.5 | 38.5 | 10 | 6 | 130 | 1 | 196 | 16 | 32% |
| 7 | @ LA | W 24-17 | -3.5 | 44 | 8 | 5 | 107 | 0 | 131 | 34 | 35% |
| 8 | vs JAX | L 10-20 | -2.5 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 81 | 15 | 13% |
| 9 | vs TEN | W 20-16 | +3.5 | 37 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 17% |
| 10 | vs GB | W 23-19 | +3 | 38.5 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 53 | 12 | 18% |
| 11 | @ CLE | L 10-13 | -2.5 | 34 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 74 | -1 | 24% |
| 12 | @ CIN | W 16-10 | +2 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 58 | 0 | 81 | 15 | 16% |
| 13 | vs ARI | L 10-24 | +6 | 41 | 5 | 4 | 86 | 0 | 79 | 11 | 19% |
| 14 | vs NE | L 18-21 | +6 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 32 | 8 | 17% |
| 15 | @ IND | L 13-30 | -1.5 | 41.5 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 147 | 9 | 27% |
| 16 | vs CIN | W 34-11 | -3 | 39.5 | 6 | 4 | 195 | 2 | 107 | 112 | 24% |
| 17 | @ SEA | W 30-23 | -4.5 | 40.5 | 9 | 7 | 131 | 0 | 118 | 38 | 43% |
| 18 | @ BAL | W 17-10 | +3 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).