At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
274.6
▲ L5 329.4
Pass TD/g
2.11
▲ L5 3.00
Comp/g
22.9
▲ L5 29.2
Att/g
32.2
▲ L5 39.8
INT/g
0.83
▼ L5 0.60
Rush yds/g
3.5
▼ L5 3.2
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 83% | 100% | 90% | 75% |
| 224.5 | 72% | 100% | 70% | 75% |
| 249.5 | 61% | 80% | 60% | 63% |
| 274.5 | 56% | 80% | 60% | 50% |
| 299.5 | 39% | 60% | 40% | 38% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 100% | 90% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 80% | 60% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 80% | 40% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 89% | 100% | 90% | 88% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 100% | 70% | 50% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 100% | 60% | 50% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 80% | 50% | 25% |
| 25.5 | 33% | 80% | 40% | 25% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 39% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 20% | 30% | 13% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
1.6
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
285.5
10 g
Away
260.9
8 g
In wins
255.2
15 g
In losses
371.3
3 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs WAS | L 31-45 | +8.5 | 55.5 | 23 | 40 | 313 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 331 | -4.4 |
| 1 | vs LA | W 26-20 | +5 | 54 | 18 | 28 | 217 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 187 | -4.8 |
| 2 | vs TB | L 16-20 | +7.5 | 51.5 | 34 | 55 | 307 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 365 | -13.7 |
| 3 | @ ARI | W 20-13 | +3 | 51.5 | 18 | 23 | 199 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 179 | 5.9 |
| 4 | vs SEA | W 42-29 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 18 | 18 | 292 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 74 | 17.9 |
| 6 | @ DAL | W 47-9 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 18 | 25 | 315 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 256 | 19.6 |
| 7 | @ MIN | W 31-29 | -1 | 50.5 | 22 | 25 | 280 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 176 | 14.9 |
| 8 | vs TEN | W 52-14 | +12.5 | 45 | 12 | 15 | 85 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 50 | -3.5 |
| 9 | @ GB | W 24-14 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 18 | 22 | 145 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 81 | 5.9 |
| 10 | @ HOU | W 26-23 | +4.5 | 49 | 15 | 30 | 240 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 286 | -1.9 |
| 11 | vs JAX | W 52-6 | +14 | 47.5 | 24 | 29 | 412 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 33.0 |
| 12 | @ IND | W 24-6 | +7 | 50.5 | 26 | 36 | 269 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 205 | 9.3 |
| 13 | vs CHI | W 23-20 | +9.5 | 47.5 | 21 | 34 | 221 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 224 | 7.1 |
| 14 | vs GB | W 34-31 | +3 | 53 | 32 | 41 | 283 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 11.8 |
| 15 | vs BUF | L 42-48 | +2.5 | 55.5 | 38 | 59 | 494 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 398 | 28.0 |
| 16 | @ CHI | W 34-17 | +7 | 47.5 | 23 | 32 | 336 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 180 | 15.5 |
| 17 | @ SF | W 40-34 | +4 | 50.5 | 26 | 34 | 303 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 147 | 20.9 |
| 18 | vs MIN | W 31-9 | +3 | 56.5 | 27 | 33 | 231 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 162 | 1.6 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).