At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
270.6
▼ L5 257.4
Pass TD/g
1.70
▲ L5 2.00
Comp/g
24.2
▼ L5 23.2
Att/g
35.8
▼ L5 35.0
INT/g
0.60
▲ L5 0.80
Rush yds/g
1.2
▼ L5 0.0
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 95% | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| 224.5 | 85% | 80% | 100% | 70% |
| 249.5 | 70% | 80% | 70% | 70% |
| 274.5 | 45% | 40% | 60% | 30% |
| 299.5 | 25% | 20% | 30% | 20% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 100% | 100% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 40% | 70% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 20% | 30% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 20% | 10% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 95% | 100% | 100% | 90% |
| 19.5 | 85% | 80% | 100% | 70% |
| 21.5 | 75% | 60% | 90% | 60% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 40% | 10% | 20% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
10.9
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
280.4
10 g
Away
260.8
10 g
In wins
269.1
14 g
In losses
274.0
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs LA | W 24-23 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 22 | 27 | 277 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 129 | 11.2 |
| 20* | vs TB | W 31-23 | +6 | 49.5 | 30 | 43 | 287 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 255 | 8.1 |
| 21* | @ SF | L 31-34 | -7.5 | 52.5 | 25 | 41 | 273 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 372 | 7.0 |
| 1 | @ KC | W 21-20 | -4 | 53 | 22 | 35 | 253 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 238 | 6.5 |
| 2 | vs SEA | L 31-37 | +4.5 | 47.5 | 28 | 35 | 323 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 290 | 8.2 |
| 3 | vs ATL | W 20-6 | +3 | 47.5 | 22 | 33 | 243 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 2.7 |
| 4 | @ GB | W 34-20 | +2.5 | 45 | 19 | 28 | 210 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 180 | 2.5 |
| 5 | vs CAR | W 42-24 | +9.5 | 43.5 | 20 | 28 | 236 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 159 | 5.8 |
| 6 | @ TB | W 20-6 | +3 | 43.5 | 30 | 44 | 353 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 270 | 17.9 |
| 7 | @ BAL | L 6-38 | -3 | 43.5 | 33 | 53 | 284 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 341 | -12.4 |
| 8 | vs LV | W 26-14 | +7 | 46 | 26 | 37 | 272 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 2.4 |
| 10 | @ LAC | W 41-38 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 23 | 33 | 333 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 14.8 |
| 11 | vs CHI | W 31-26 | +8 | 48 | 23 | 35 | 236 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 245 | -2.1 |
| 12 | vs GB | L 22-29 | +8.5 | 47 | 29 | 44 | 332 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 318 | -5.4 |
| 13 | @ NO | W 33-28 | +4 | 47.5 | 16 | 25 | 213 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 8.4 |
| 14 | @ CHI | L 13-28 | +3 | 44.5 | 20 | 35 | 161 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 238 | -6.3 |
| 15 | vs DEN | W 42-17 | +5.5 | 49 | 24 | 34 | 278 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 290 | 15.2 |
| 16 | @ MIN | W 30-24 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 30 | 40 | 257 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 149 | 14.3 |
| 17 | @ DAL | L 19-20 | -5.5 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 271 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 224 | -1.6 |
| 18 | vs MIN | W 30-20 | +3.5 | 47.5 | 23 | 32 | 320 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 10.9 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).