At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
65.0
▼ L5 58.2
Rec/g
5.1
▲ L5 5.4
Tgt/g
7.5
▲ L5 8.6
Rec TD/g
0.40
■ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 73% | 80% | 71% | 75% |
| 49.5 | 67% | 80% | 71% | 63% |
| 59.5 | 47% | 40% | 71% | 25% |
| 69.5 | 33% | 20% | 43% | 25% |
| 79.5 | 33% | 20% | 43% | 25% |
| 89.5 | 27% | 20% | 29% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 80% | 80% | 71% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 80% | 57% | 63% |
| 4.5 | 53% | 60% | 57% | 50% |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% | 43% | 38% |
| 6.5 | 40% | 60% | 43% | 38% |
| 7.5 | 13% | 0% | 14% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 87% | 100% | 86% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 53% | 80% | 57% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 40% | 60% | 43% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 0% | 14% | 25% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
24%
Air-yards share
19%
Rec EPA/game
-1.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
63.4
7 g
Away
66.4
8 g
In wins
72.4
5 g
In losses
61.3
10 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs NYJ | W 32-19 | +3.5 | 43 | 5 | 5 | 64 | 0 | 54 | 10 | 17% |
| 2 | @ MIN | L 17-23 | +4.5 | 46.5 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 55 | 6 | 11% |
| 3 | @ LA | L 24-27 | +6 | 44.5 | 12 | 11 | 175 | 3 | 149 | 26 | 40% |
| 4 | vs NE | W 30-13 | +10.5 | 41.5 | 6 | 3 | 88 | 0 | 84 | 20 | 23% |
| 5 | vs ARI | L 23-24 | +7 | 48.5 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 39 | 8 | 13% |
| 6 | @ SEA | W 36-24 | +3.5 | 49 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 27 | 8 | 19% |
| 10 | @ TB | W 23-20 | +6.5 | 50.5 | 11 | 7 | 93 | 0 | 84 | 36 | 32% |
| 11 | vs SEA | L 17-20 | +6 | 49 | 11 | 10 | 91 | 1 | 71 | 23 | 39% |
| 12 | @ GB | L 10-38 | -6.5 | 44.5 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 45 | 17 | 27% |
| 13 | @ BUF | L 10-35 | -6.5 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 56 | 0 | 65 | 19 | 29% |
| 14 | vs CHI | W 38-13 | +3 | 43.5 | 8 | 7 | 90 | 2 | 82 | 26 | 31% |
| 15 | vs LA | L 6-12 | +3 | 48.5 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 121 | 10 | 29% |
| 16 | @ MIA | L 17-29 | +2 | 44 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 80 | 2 | 16% |
| 17 | vs DET | L 34-40 | -4 | 50.5 | 10 | 7 | 67 | 0 | 100 | 11 | 28% |
| 18 | @ ARI | L 24-47 | -4.5 | 42.5 | 10 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 63 | 16 | 24% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).