At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
56.5
▲ L5 60.0
Rec/g
4.1
▲ L5 5.4
Tgt/g
6.7
▲ L5 8.6
Rec TD/g
0.56
▲ L5 1.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 56% | 60% | 86% | 33% |
| 49.5 | 50% | 60% | 71% | 33% |
| 59.5 | 44% | 60% | 57% | 33% |
| 69.5 | 19% | 20% | 14% | 22% |
| 79.5 | 13% | 20% | 14% | 11% |
| 89.5 | 13% | 20% | 14% | 11% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 81% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 80% | 71% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 38% | 80% | 57% | 22% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 60% | 43% | 11% |
| 6.5 | 19% | 40% | 29% | 11% |
| 7.5 | 13% | 20% | 14% | 11% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 75% | 100% | 86% | 67% |
| 6.5 | 50% | 80% | 57% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 19% | 40% | 29% | 11% |
| 10.5 | 6% | 20% | 14% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
16%
Air-yards share
34%
Rec EPA/game
-7.4
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
66.1
7 g
Away
49.0
9 g
In wins
65.6
12 g
In losses
29.3
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ LA | L 9-27 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 154 | 0 | 20% |
| 1 | @ NYG | W 28-6 | +1 | 42.5 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 17% |
| 4 | @ GB | W 31-29 | -2.5 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 72 | 1 | 86 | 1 | 15% |
| 5 | vs NYJ | W 23-17 | +2.5 | 42 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 153 | 2 | 29% |
| 7 | vs DET | L 29-31 | +1 | 50.5 | 4 | 3 | 66 | 0 | 74 | 7 | 15% |
| 8 | @ LA | L 20-30 | +3 | 47.5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 13% |
| 9 | vs IND | W 21-13 | +6.5 | 47 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 1 | 27 | 15 | 15% |
| 10 | @ JAX | W 12-7 | +7 | 42.5 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 77 | 2 | 14% |
| 11 | @ TEN | W 23-13 | +6 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 1 | 128 | 29 | 27% |
| 12 | @ CHI | W 30-27 | +3 | 39.5 | 9 | 8 | 162 | 1 | 99 | 59 | 28% |
| 13 | vs ARI | W 23-22 | +3.5 | 45.5 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 0 | 79 | 15 | 20% |
| 14 | vs ATL | W 42-21 | +6 | 46.5 | 12 | 8 | 133 | 3 | 136 | 30 | 43% |
| 15 | vs CHI | W 30-12 | +7 | 43.5 | 9 | 7 | 63 | 0 | 80 | 10 | 24% |
| 16 | @ SEA | W 27-24 | +2.5 | 43 | 8 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 56 | 14 | 23% |
| 17 | vs GB | W 27-25 | -1 | 49 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 1 | 107 | 25 | 20% |
| 18 | @ DET | L 9-31 | -3 | 56.5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 2 | 16% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).