At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
242.2
▼ L5 223.8
Pass TD/g
2.37
▲ L5 2.80
Comp/g
18.4
▼ L5 17.0
Att/g
27.4
▼ L5 26.2
INT/g
0.26
▼ L5 0.20
Rush yds/g
54.5
▲ L5 63.2
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 74% | 80% | 78% | 70% |
| 224.5 | 58% | 40% | 56% | 60% |
| 249.5 | 47% | 20% | 33% | 60% |
| 274.5 | 37% | 20% | 33% | 40% |
| 299.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 10% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 74% | 100% | 78% | 70% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 40% | 33% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 20% | 11% | 30% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 47% | 40% | 44% | 50% |
| 19.5 | 42% | 40% | 44% | 40% |
| 21.5 | 26% | 20% | 22% | 30% |
| 23.5 | 16% | 0% | 11% | 20% |
| 25.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 26% | 20% | 33% | 20% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
5.2
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
236.9
9 g
Away
246.9
10 g
In wins
238.0
13 g
In losses
251.2
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PIT | W 28-14 | +9.5 | 44.5 | 16 | 21 | 175 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 118 | 9.4 |
| 20* | @ BUF | L 25-27 | +1.5 | 51.5 | 18 | 25 | 254 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 260 | 6.5 |
| 1 | @ KC | L 20-27 | -3 | 46 | 26 | 41 | 273 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 267 | -2.5 |
| 2 | vs LV | L 23-26 | +9 | 41 | 21 | 34 | 247 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 286 | 1.0 |
| 3 | @ DAL | W 28-25 | +1.5 | 47.5 | 12 | 15 | 182 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 10.7 |
| 4 | vs BUF | W 35-10 | +2.5 | 46.5 | 13 | 18 | 156 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 115 | 9.2 |
| 5 | @ CIN | W 41-38 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 26 | 42 | 348 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 382 | 21.2 |
| 6 | vs WAS | W 30-23 | +6.5 | 51.5 | 20 | 26 | 323 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 257 | 11.0 |
| 7 | @ TB | W 41-31 | +4.5 | 51 | 17 | 22 | 281 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 184 | 25.1 |
| 8 | @ CLE | L 24-29 | +7.5 | 44.5 | 23 | 38 | 289 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 378 | 7.6 |
| 9 | vs DEN | W 41-10 | +9 | 46.5 | 16 | 19 | 280 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 150 | 19.3 |
| 10 | vs CIN | W 35-34 | +6 | 53 | 25 | 33 | 290 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 19.7 |
| 11 | @ PIT | L 16-18 | +3 | 48 | 16 | 33 | 207 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 304 | -1.5 |
| 12 | @ LAC | W 30-23 | +3 | 51 | 16 | 22 | 177 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 9.1 |
| 13 | vs PHI | L 19-24 | +3 | 50 | 23 | 36 | 237 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 362 | -1.0 |
| 15 | @ NYG | W 35-14 | +16.5 | 43.5 | 21 | 25 | 290 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 258 | 24.6 |
| 16 | vs PIT | W 34-17 | +7 | 44.5 | 15 | 23 | 207 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 224 | 7.1 |
| 17 | @ HOU | W 31-2 | +5.5 | 46.5 | 10 | 15 | 168 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 138 | 8.4 |
| 18 | vs CLE | W 35-10 | +19.5 | 42.5 | 16 | 32 | 217 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 5.2 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).