At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
86.4
▼ L5 58.6
Rec/g
5.7
▼ L5 5.4
Tgt/g
8.2
▼ L5 7.6
Rec TD/g
0.57
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 86% | 60% | 86% | 86% |
| 49.5 | 86% | 60% | 86% | 86% |
| 59.5 | 71% | 40% | 71% | 71% |
| 69.5 | 64% | 20% | 71% | 57% |
| 79.5 | 57% | 20% | 57% | 57% |
| 89.5 | 43% | 20% | 57% | 29% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 93% | 100% | 86% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 86% | 80% | 71% | 100% |
| 4.5 | 64% | 60% | 57% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 43% | 40% | 43% | 43% |
| 6.5 | 36% | 40% | 43% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 21% | 20% | 29% | 14% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 93% | 100% | 86% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 71% | 40% | 57% | 86% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 40% | 43% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 14% | 20% | 14% | 14% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
18%
Air-yards share
12%
Rec EPA/game
4.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
93.4
7 g
Away
79.3
7 g
In wins
92.3
9 g
In losses
75.6
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs LAC | W 32-12 | -3 | 41.5 | 8 | 7 | 122 | 1 | 115 | 61 | 25% |
| 20* | @ KC | L 14-23 | -9.5 | 41.5 | 8 | 5 | 81 | 0 | 99 | 6 | 29% |
| 1 | @ IND | W 29-27 | +3 | 49 | 8 | 6 | 117 | 0 | 124 | 16 | 26% |
| 2 | vs CHI | W 19-13 | +6 | 45.5 | 10 | 8 | 135 | 1 | 121 | 43 | 29% |
| 3 | @ MIN | L 7-34 | +2 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 0 | 100 | 48 | 23% |
| 4 | vs JAX | W 24-20 | +5.5 | 44.5 | 15 | 12 | 151 | 1 | 141 | 64 | 38% |
| 5 | vs BUF | W 23-20 | +1 | 48 | 2 | 2 | 78 | 1 | 54 | 24 | 6% |
| 11 | @ DAL | W 34-10 | +7.5 | 41.5 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 0 | 61 | 36 | 21% |
| 12 | vs TEN | L 27-32 | +8 | 40.5 | 9 | 5 | 92 | 1 | 106 | 25 | 29% |
| 13 | @ JAX | W 23-20 | +3.5 | 44.5 | 11 | 8 | 119 | 0 | 88 | 56 | 33% |
| 15 | vs MIA | W 20-12 | +2.5 | 46.5 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 47 | 2 | 24% |
| 16 | @ KC | L 19-27 | -3.5 | 42.5 | 10 | 7 | 60 | 0 | 93 | 18 | 27% |
| 17 | vs BAL | L 2-31 | -5.5 | 46.5 | 6 | 3 | 59 | 0 | 127 | 16 | 19% |
| 18 | @ TEN | W 23-14 | -2.5 | 36.5 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 1 | 21 | 17 | 18% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).