At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
85.9
▲ L5 99.4
Rec/g
5.4
▲ L5 6.0
Tgt/g
7.4
▼ L5 7.2
Rec TD/g
0.53
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 71% | 60% | 90% | 43% |
| 49.5 | 71% | 60% | 90% | 43% |
| 59.5 | 65% | 60% | 80% | 43% |
| 69.5 | 53% | 60% | 70% | 29% |
| 79.5 | 53% | 60% | 70% | 29% |
| 89.5 | 35% | 40% | 50% | 14% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 88% | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| 3.5 | 76% | 80% | 90% | 57% |
| 4.5 | 59% | 60% | 70% | 43% |
| 5.5 | 53% | 60% | 70% | 29% |
| 6.5 | 41% | 60% | 60% | 14% |
| 7.5 | 12% | 40% | 10% | 14% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 82% | 80% | 100% | 57% |
| 6.5 | 59% | 60% | 70% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 40% | 50% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 18% | 20% | 20% | 14% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
35%
Air-yards share
46%
Rec EPA/game
14.5
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
100.2
10 g
Away
65.6
7 g
In wins
107.0
9 g
In losses
62.3
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs CLE | W 45-14 | -2.5 | 45 | 7 | 6 | 96 | 1 | 106 | 46 | 32% |
| 20* | @ BAL | L 10-34 | -10 | 44 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 0 | 78 | 46 | 32% |
| 1 | @ BAL | L 9-25 | -9.5 | 43.5 | 11 | 6 | 80 | 0 | 158 | 21 | 26% |
| 2 | vs IND | L 20-31 | -1 | 40 | 9 | 7 | 146 | 1 | 112 | 54 | 21% |
| 3 | @ JAX | W 37-17 | -7.5 | 43.5 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 20 | 29 | 10% |
| 4 | vs PIT | W 30-6 | -3 | 41.5 | 9 | 7 | 168 | 2 | 94 | 91 | 33% |
| 5 | @ ATL | L 19-21 | -2.5 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 0 | 25 | 18 | 13% |
| 6 | vs NO | W 20-13 | -2 | 42.5 | 6 | 4 | 80 | 0 | 76 | 30 | 25% |
| 8 | @ CAR | L 13-15 | +3 | 43 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 97 | 13 | 25% |
| 9 | vs TB | W 39-37 | +2.5 | 39.5 | 5 | 3 | 54 | 1 | 48 | 29 | 13% |
| 11 | vs ARI | W 21-16 | +5.5 | 48 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 0 | 88 | 15 | 29% |
| 12 | vs JAX | L 21-24 | -1 | 48 | 9 | 7 | 104 | 1 | 97 | 50 | 25% |
| 13 | vs DEN | W 22-17 | +3.5 | 47.5 | 12 | 9 | 191 | 1 | 147 | 72 | 44% |
| 14 | @ NYJ | L 6-30 | +3.5 | 33.5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 4% |
| 16 | vs CLE | L 22-36 | -3 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 44 | 10 | 13% |
| 17 | vs TEN | W 26-3 | +5 | 44 | 8 | 7 | 80 | 0 | 50 | 39 | 26% |
| 18 | @ IND | W 23-19 | +1.5 | 47.5 | 9 | 9 | 195 | 1 | 119 | 76 | 35% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).