At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
87.0
▲ L5 100.0
Rec/g
6.9
▲ L5 8.4
Tgt/g
9.9
▲ L5 10.6
Rec TD/g
0.23
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 85% | 100% | 100% | 71% |
| 49.5 | 77% | 100% | 83% | 71% |
| 59.5 | 62% | 60% | 83% | 43% |
| 69.5 | 62% | 60% | 83% | 43% |
| 79.5 | 62% | 60% | 83% | 43% |
| 89.5 | 62% | 60% | 83% | 43% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 92% | 100% | 100% | 86% |
| 3.5 | 92% | 100% | 100% | 86% |
| 4.5 | 85% | 100% | 100% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 69% | 80% | 83% | 57% |
| 6.5 | 62% | 80% | 83% | 43% |
| 7.5 | 38% | 60% | 67% | 14% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 85% | 100% | 100% | 71% |
| 6.5 | 85% | 100% | 100% | 71% |
| 8.5 | 69% | 60% | 100% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 40% | 67% | 14% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
50%
Air-yards share
42%
Rec EPA/game
4.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
109.3
6 g
Away
67.9
7 g
In wins
87.1
9 g
In losses
86.8
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs MIN | W 27-9 | -2.5 | 47.5 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 36 | 30 | 35% |
| 20* | @ PHI | L 22-28 | -7 | 43.5 | 14 | 6 | 97 | 0 | 171 | 29 | 32% |
| 1 | @ DET | L 20-26 | -5 | 54 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 18 | 17 | 8% |
| 8 | vs MIN | W 30-20 | -3 | 47.5 | 9 | 7 | 106 | 0 | 105 | 52 | 26% |
| 9 | @ SEA | W 26-20 | +1.5 | 48.5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 70 | 14 | 10% |
| 10 | vs MIA | L 15-23 | +2.5 | 49.5 | 14 | 9 | 98 | 0 | 131 | 33 | 32% |
| 11 | @ NE | W 28-22 | +4 | 42.5 | 9 | 7 | 123 | 1 | 116 | 46 | 33% |
| 12 | vs PHI | L 20-37 | -3 | 49 | 13 | 9 | 117 | 0 | 96 | 65 | 38% |
| 13 | @ NO | W 21-14 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 8 | 5 | 56 | 1 | 46 | 45 | 35% |
| 14 | vs BUF | W 44-42 | -3.5 | 49.5 | 14 | 12 | 162 | 1 | 100 | 84 | 47% |
| 15 | @ SF | W 12-6 | -3 | 48.5 | 8 | 7 | 97 | 0 | 81 | 40 | 31% |
| 16 | @ NYJ | W 19-9 | +3 | 47 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 0 | 3 | 51 | 47% |
| 17 | vs ARI | W 13-9 | +6.5 | 48 | 14 | 10 | 129 | 0 | 73 | 71 | 50% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).