At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
92.6
▼ L5 91.4
Rec/g
6.3
▼ L5 5.6
Tgt/g
9.4
▼ L5 8.4
Rec TD/g
0.39
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 83% | 100% | 88% | 80% |
| 49.5 | 72% | 80% | 88% | 60% |
| 59.5 | 67% | 60% | 75% | 60% |
| 69.5 | 67% | 60% | 75% | 60% |
| 79.5 | 50% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| 89.5 | 44% | 40% | 50% | 40% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 89% | 100% | 100% | 80% |
| 4.5 | 67% | 80% | 75% | 60% |
| 5.5 | 39% | 20% | 50% | 30% |
| 6.5 | 39% | 20% | 50% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 33% | 20% | 38% | 30% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 94% | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 20% | 50% | 10% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
26%
Air-yards share
29%
Rec EPA/game
3.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
98.4
8 g
Away
88.0
10 g
In wins
88.3
10 g
In losses
98.0
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ DET | L 23-24 | -3.5 | 52.5 | 10 | 9 | 181 | 1 | 96 | 103 | 29% |
| 1 | @ SEA | W 30-13 | -4.5 | 45 | 15 | 10 | 119 | 0 | 144 | 42 | 41% |
| 2 | vs SF | L 23-30 | -7.5 | 45 | 20 | 15 | 147 | 0 | 128 | 69 | 38% |
| 3 | @ CIN | L 16-19 | -3 | 45.5 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 0 | 76 | 9 | 22% |
| 4 | @ IND | W 29-23 | +1 | 44.5 | 10 | 9 | 163 | 1 | 128 | 48 | 26% |
| 5 | vs PHI | L 14-23 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 11 | 7 | 71 | 1 | 126 | 14 | 32% |
| 6 | vs ARI | W 26-9 | +7 | 48 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 35 | 9 | 33% |
| 7 | vs PIT | L 17-24 | +3.5 | 44 | 12 | 8 | 154 | 0 | 116 | 92 | 44% |
| 8 | @ DAL | L 20-43 | -6.5 | 44.5 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 43 | 31 | 22% |
| 9 | @ GB | L 3-20 | -3.5 | 38 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 41 | 5 | 26% |
| 11 | vs SEA | W 17-16 | +2.5 | 45 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 1 | 68 | 13 | 24% |
| 12 | @ ARI | W 37-14 | +3 | 45 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 74 | 17 | 26% |
| 13 | vs CLE | W 36-19 | +3.5 | 39.5 | 7 | 4 | 105 | 1 | 105 | 57 | 21% |
| 14 | @ BAL | L 31-37 | -7.5 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 84 | 0 | 104 | 31 | 23% |
| 15 | vs WAS | W 28-20 | +6.5 | 48.5 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 23 | 30 | 25% |
| 16 | vs NO | W 30-22 | +4 | 45.5 | 11 | 9 | 164 | 1 | 153 | 55 | 34% |
| 17 | @ NYG | W 26-25 | +6 | 43.5 | 8 | 5 | 118 | 0 | 45 | 108 | 24% |
| 18 | @ SF | W 21-20 | -5.5 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 1 | 44 | 9 | 26% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).