At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
58.2
▼ L5 55.2
Rec/g
3.3
▲ L5 3.4
Tgt/g
6.8
▲ L5 7.2
Rec TD/g
0.50
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 67% | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| 49.5 | 67% | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| 59.5 | 67% | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| 69.5 | 67% | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| 79.5 | 50% | 60% | 0% | 100% |
| 89.5 | 17% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 67% | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 60% | 0% | 100% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 7.5 | 17% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 83% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| 6.5 | 50% | 60% | 33% | 67% |
| 8.5 | 33% | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| 10.5 | 17% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
18%
Air-yards share
49%
Rec EPA/game
-11.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
28.0
3 g
Away
88.3
3 g
In wins
84.5
2 g
In losses
45.0
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs CAR | W 47-10 | +3.5 | 41.5 | 5 | 3 | 73 | 1 | 97 | 30 | 21% |
| 2 | @ DAL | W 44-19 | -6.5 | 47 | 4 | 4 | 96 | 1 | 61 | 35 | 27% |
| 3 | vs PHI | L 12-15 | +2.5 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 0 | 22% |
| 4 | @ ATL | L 24-26 | -2.5 | 41.5 | 11 | 8 | 83 | 0 | 100 | 20 | 31% |
| 5 | @ KC | L 13-26 | -5.5 | 43 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 1 | 207 | 12 | 28% |
| 6 | vs TB | L 27-51 | -3.5 | 42.5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 151 | 9 | 18% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).