At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
253.6
▲ L5 273.4
Pass TD/g
2.00
▲ L5 2.40
Comp/g
21.4
▲ L5 23.8
Att/g
32.5
▲ L5 37.4
INT/g
0.72
▼ L5 0.40
Rush yds/g
12.8
▼ L5 5.0
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 83% | 80% | 78% | 89% |
| 224.5 | 78% | 80% | 78% | 78% |
| 249.5 | 39% | 40% | 56% | 22% |
| 274.5 | 28% | 40% | 33% | 22% |
| 299.5 | 17% | 40% | 22% | 11% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 80% | 89% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 60% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 60% | 44% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 20% | 22% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 83% | 100% | 67% | 100% |
| 19.5 | 67% | 80% | 67% | 67% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 80% | 56% | 44% |
| 23.5 | 28% | 40% | 33% | 22% |
| 25.5 | 11% | 20% | 22% | 0% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 56% | 40% | 67% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
-24.8
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
263.0
9 g
Away
244.1
9 g
In wins
261.0
14 g
In losses
227.5
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ LA | L 9-27 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 25 | 40 | 245 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 420 | -29.0 |
| 1 | @ NYG | W 28-6 | +1 | 42.5 | 19 | 24 | 208 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 9.6 |
| 2 | vs SF | W 23-17 | -4.5 | 46.5 | 17 | 26 | 268 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 169 | -1.3 |
| 3 | vs HOU | W 34-7 | -2 | 46 | 17 | 28 | 181 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 191 | 5.3 |
| 4 | @ GB | W 31-29 | -2.5 | 44 | 20 | 28 | 275 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 289 | 8.1 |
| 5 | vs NYJ | W 23-17 | +2.5 | 42 | 14 | 31 | 179 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 402 | -12.0 |
| 7 | vs DET | L 29-31 | +1 | 50.5 | 22 | 27 | 259 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 215 | 0.2 |
| 8 | @ LA | L 20-30 | +3 | 47.5 | 18 | 25 | 240 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 260 | 8.5 |
| 9 | vs IND | W 21-13 | +6.5 | 47 | 28 | 34 | 290 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 240 | -6.2 |
| 10 | @ JAX | W 12-7 | +7 | 42.5 | 24 | 38 | 241 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 348 | -2.4 |
| 11 | @ TEN | W 23-13 | +6 | 40 | 20 | 32 | 246 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 304 | 7.4 |
| 12 | @ CHI | W 30-27 | +3 | 39.5 | 22 | 34 | 330 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 286 | 10.2 |
| 13 | vs ARI | W 23-22 | +3.5 | 45.5 | 21 | 31 | 235 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 213 | 1.1 |
| 14 | vs ATL | W 42-21 | +6 | 46.5 | 22 | 28 | 347 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 291 | 23.6 |
| 15 | vs CHI | W 30-12 | +7 | 43.5 | 24 | 40 | 231 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 2.9 |
| 16 | @ SEA | W 27-24 | +2.5 | 43 | 22 | 35 | 246 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 268 | 8.4 |
| 17 | vs GB | W 27-25 | -1 | 49 | 33 | 43 | 377 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 319 | 12.2 |
| 18 | @ DET | L 9-31 | -3 | 56.5 | 18 | 41 | 166 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 280 | -24.8 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).