MLB · AL East

Ceddanne Rafaela

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red SoxOFBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerBelow avg

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power.

Prop hit rates

How often Ceddanne Rafaela has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    80%77%71%
  • Over 1.5
    30%27%23%
  • Over 2.5
    10%10%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%10%10%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    50%53%43%
  • Over 2.5
    20%23%19%
  • Over 3.5
    10%13%14%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.280

OBP

.331

SLG

.439

OPS

.770

HR

7

K%

20%

Last 10: 12-for-43 (.279) · 2 HR · 9 K · 0 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 284 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.333
32
Avg Exit V
86.1 mph
25
Barrel %
5.8%
33
Hard-Hit %
41.1%
29
Chase %
39.9%
7
Whiff %
22.6%
50
K %
20.1%
60
BB %
4.9%
13

Where he hits it

23%LF22%LCF13%CF17%RCF16%RF← Pull

40%

Pull

25%

Center

36%

Oppo

Pull-air 27% of BIP · 92.8 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.907OPS67 PA
vs RHP.729OPS217 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Four-seam81.264.390.30320.1%22.2%42.5%5.0%89.3 mph13.7°
Slider52.275.549.26729.0%21.2%38.6%8.4%85.7 mph14.9°
Changeup38.305.592.25033.2%28.9%43.4%14.5%89.1 mph14.1°
Cutter24.290.337.30525.5%8.3%26.1%0.0%84.6 mph15.9°
Curveball21.238.381.19428.6%28.6%33.8%0.0%85.9 mph2.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.313
xSLG
.464
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
108.6
EV90
101.1
Launch angle
10.6°
Sweet-spot%
38.6%
Avg distance
302 ft
EV on barrels
100.8
EV on hard-hit
99.9
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
67.5%
O-Contact%
64.7%
Z-Contact%
85.7%
Contact%
77.4%
SwStr%
12.0%
CSW%
27.7%
In-zone%
47.4%
1st-pitch swing%
37.3%
2-strike K%
36.1%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.273
7d K%
15.4%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
24.6%
14d xwOBA(con)
.326
14d K%
19.1%
14d Barrel%
2.6%
30d xwOBA(con)
.309
30d K%
16.7%
30d Barrel%
3.6%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.315
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.340
Behind xwOBA(con)
.330
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.343
Ahead Whiff%
22.8%
2-strike Whiff%
17.4%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.353
RISP
.374
Loaded
.386
High leverage
.358
Clutch
.378
Innings 1-3
.288
Innings 4-6
.370
Innings 7+
.342

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.