MLB · NL East

Francisco Alvarez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

New York MetsCBats: R · Throws: R
FormHotPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Francisco Alvarez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    80%73%66%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    30%13%16%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    10%3%2%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    30%13%14%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    40%33%30%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    40%17%16%
  • Over 3.5▲ hot
    30%13%14%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.261↑

OBP

.326

SLG

.441

OPS

.767

HR

8

K%

24%

Last 10: 13-for-40 (.325) · 3 HR · 12 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 178 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.434
89
Avg Exit V
90.8 mph
83
Barrel %
17.1%
97
Hard-Hit %
53.8%
78
Chase %
33.6%
29
Whiff %
29.0%
17
K %
24.2%
36
BB %
7.9%
42

Where he hits it

28%LF29%LCF21%CF9%RCF8%RF← Pull

54%

Pull

28%

Center

18%

Oppo

Pull-air 39% of BIP · 94.1 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.753OPS45 PA
vs RHP.771OPS133 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball5.000.000.14836.4%20.0%0.0%0.0%84.0 mph-3.6°
Cutter6.200.200.17214.3%16.7%40.0%0.0%89.8 mph13.6°
Changeup19.376.805.42831.6%21.1%41.2%19.6%90.2 mph-1.6°
Four-seam37.314.436.40026.4%37.8%58.9%19.5%96.3 mph20.8°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.357
xSLG
.674
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
112.6
EV90
108.2
Launch angle
9.7°
Sweet-spot%
32.5%
Avg distance
276 ft
EV on barrels
105.9
EV on hard-hit
103.2
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
63.3%
O-Contact%
54.2%
Z-Contact%
81.6%
Contact%
71.0%
SwStr%
13.7%
CSW%
30.3%
In-zone%
45.6%
1st-pitch swing%
34.1%
2-strike K%
42.2%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.565
7d K%
34.8%
7d Barrel%
21.4%
7d Whiff%
43.5%
14d xwOBA(con)
.547
14d K%
27.9%
14d Barrel%
17.9%
30d xwOBA(con)
.526
30d K%
30.0%
30d Barrel%
18.8%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.414
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.476
Behind xwOBA(con)
.345
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.425
Ahead Whiff%
27.4%
2-strike Whiff%
23.8%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.379
RISP
.267
Loaded
.300
High leverage
.372
Clutch
.302
Innings 1-3
.351
Innings 4-6
.504
Innings 7+
.420

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.