MLB · NL Central

Jackson Chourio

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Milwaukee BrewersOFBats: R · Throws: R
FormColdPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Jackson Chourio has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    70%77%77%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    20%33%34%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    0%13%11%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    20%23%18%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%47%43%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    30%43%39%
  • Over 3.5
    20%30%25%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.293↓

OBP

.340

SLG

.518

OPS

.858

HR

10

K%

24%

Last 10: 9-for-42 (.214) · 2 HR · 10 K · 1 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 206 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.424
84
Avg Exit V
92.4 mph
94
Barrel %
13.6%
90
Hard-Hit %
52.9%
74
Chase %
33.0%
31
Whiff %
22.0%
54
K %
24.3%
35
BB %
6.3%
22

Where he hits it

14%LF21%LCF25%CF17%RCF12%RF← Pull

36%

Pull

36%

Center

28%

Oppo

Pull-air 10% of BIP · 95.0 mph · 41° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.874OPS55 PA
vs RHP.852OPS151 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Changeup11.300.400.12623.1%27.3%25.0%0.0%87.9 mph17.6°
Sinker34.414.586.42213.3%26.5%69.6%8.7%97.8 mph7.3°
Slider37.194.361.35927.1%21.6%40.0%20.0%90.1 mph19.1°
Four-seam41.205.462.30422.2%29.3%42.9%21.4%94.7 mph16.3°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.353
xSLG
.653
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
113.3
EV90
107.3
Launch angle
12.3°
Sweet-spot%
33.6%
Avg distance
310 ft
EV on barrels
105.8
EV on hard-hit
103.0
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
62.4%
O-Contact%
58.1%
Z-Contact%
89.4%
Contact%
78.0%
SwStr%
10.3%
CSW%
29.6%
In-zone%
47.7%
1st-pitch swing%
32.5%
2-strike K%
42.4%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.296
7d K%
28.1%
7d Barrel%
4.8%
7d Whiff%
25.0%
14d xwOBA(con)
.410
14d K%
20.4%
14d Barrel%
10.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.435
30d K%
20.7%
30d Barrel%
10.5%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.499
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.392
Behind xwOBA(con)
.356
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.382
Ahead Whiff%
14.6%
2-strike Whiff%
24.5%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.387
RISP
.338
Loaded
.417
High leverage
.404
Clutch
.323
Innings 1-3
.378
Innings 4-6
.435
Innings 7+
.476

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Jackson Chourio UNDER 1.5 Hits

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds · Jun 22, 2026 · -176

WIN

Jackson Chourio OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers · Jun 14, 2026 · +140

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