MLB · AL West

Josh Naylor

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Seattle Mariners1BBats: L · Throws: L
FormSteadyPowerBelow avg

The read

League-average power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Josh Naylor has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    70%70%66%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    20%30%28%
  • Over 2.5
    0%3%7%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%10%10%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    50%43%37%
  • Over 2.5
    20%23%20%
  • Over 3.5
    10%10%11%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.253

OBP

.307

SLG

.367

OPS

.674

HR

8

K%

13%

Last 10: 9-for-39 (.231) · 1 HR · 5 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 322 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.340
36
Avg Exit V
87.8 mph
40
Barrel %
5.2%
28
Hard-Hit %
46.6%
52
Chase %
35.8%
17
Whiff %
16.8%
82
K %
13.0%
92
BB %
6.8%
28

Where he hits it

6%LF13%LCF17%CF21%RCF26%RFPull →

50%

Pull

28%

Center

22%

Oppo

Pull-air 39% of BIP · 92.6 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.668OPS92 PA
vs RHP.677OPS230 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball19.158.263.23520.8%26.3%35.3%5.9%85.2 mph14.4°
Cutter30.346.500.39510.0%10.0%33.3%8.3%88.5 mph24.6°
Sinker30.185.185.2906.4%3.3%48.1%0.0%91.4 mph0.4°
Four-seam75.286.514.3576.1%5.3%32.9%5.7%88.7 mph22.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.319
xSLG
.475
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
111.5
EV90
103.1
Launch angle
13.9°
Sweet-spot%
33.9%
Avg distance
247 ft
EV on barrels
102.5
EV on hard-hit
100.5
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
73.0%
O-Contact%
73.0%
Z-Contact%
89.3%
Contact%
83.2%
SwStr%
8.8%
CSW%
20.9%
In-zone%
44.8%
1st-pitch swing%
41.3%
2-strike K%
32.3%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.364
7d K%
16.7%
7d Barrel%
5.3%
7d Whiff%
11.6%
14d xwOBA(con)
.315
14d K%
12.2%
14d Barrel%
5.9%
30d xwOBA(con)
.305
30d K%
10.1%
30d Barrel%
3.7%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.335
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.319
Behind xwOBA(con)
.379
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.340
Ahead Whiff%
10.3%
2-strike Whiff%
17.6%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.329
RISP
.329
Loaded
.338
High leverage
.305
Clutch
.349
Innings 1-3
.348
Innings 4-6
.295
Innings 7+
.376

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Josh Naylor OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners · Jun 21, 2026 · +174

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Josh Naylor OVER 1.5 Total Bases

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WIN

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