MLB · AL West

Josh Naylor

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Seattle Mariners1BBats: L · Throws: L

FormSteadyPowerBelow avg

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Josh Naylor has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
70%70%66%
Over 1.5
20%27%28%
Over 2.5
0%0%7%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
0%10%9%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%40%36%
Over 2.5▼ cold
10%20%20%
Over 3.5▼ cold
0%10%11%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.250

OBP

.306

SLG

.362

OPS

.668

13%

Last 10: 9-for-37 (.243) · 0 HR · 6 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 330 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.339

Avg Exit V

87.6 mph

Barrel %

5.1%

Hard-Hit %

45.9%

Chase %

35.8%

Whiff %

16.8%

K %

13.0%

BB %

7.0%

Where he hits it

49%

Pull

28%

Center

23%

Oppo

Pull-air 37% of BIP · 92.6 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.646OPS95 PA

vs RHP.677OPS235 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	21	.150	.250	.246	22.2%	28.6%	35.3%	5.9%	85.2 mph	14.4°
Cutter	30	.346	.500	.395	10.0%	10.0%	33.3%	8.3%	88.5 mph	24.6°
Changeup	51	.241	.241	.350	22.9%	11.8%	35.8%	2.4%	85.7 mph	9.4°
Slider	58	.222	.391	.281	32.7%	25.9%	49.2%	10.7%	87.1 mph	17.6°
Sinker	58	.252	.304	.294	6.9%	5.2%	45.3%	0.0%	89.8 mph	-0.7°
Four-seam	98	.297	.471	.357	7.3%	6.1%	30.9%	5.8%	88.2 mph	21.1°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.319

xSLG

.471

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

111.5

EV90

103.2

Launch angle

14.1°

Sweet-spot%

33.9%

Avg distance

249 ft

EV on barrels

102.5

EV on hard-hit

100.6

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

73.0%

O-Contact%

73.0%

Z-Contact%

89.3%

Contact%

83.2%

SwStr%

8.8%

CSW%

21.0%

In-zone%

44.9%

1st-pitch swing%

41.8%

2-strike K%

32.3%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.343

7d K%

16.7%

7d Barrel%

5.6%

7d Whiff%

12.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.313

14d K%

15.4%

14d Barrel%

3.2%

30d xwOBA(con)

.287

30d K%

11.2%

30d Barrel%

3.8%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.322

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.319

Behind xwOBA(con)

.382

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.345

Ahead Whiff%

10.3%

2-strike Whiff%

17.9%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.324

RISP

.319

Loaded

.338

High leverage

.305

Clutch

.342

Innings 1-3

.344

Innings 4-6

.299

Innings 7+

.372

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Josh Naylor OVER 1.5 Total Bases

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