MLB · AL West
Josh Naylor
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

The read
Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.
Prop hit rates
How often Josh Naylor has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▲ hot80%73%66%
- Over 1.520%27%27%
- Over 2.50%0%7%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▼ cold0%10%9%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.540%40%35%
- Over 2.5▼ cold10%20%20%
- Over 3.5▼ cold0%10%10%
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At a glance
AVG
.250
OBP
.306
SLG
.362
OPS
.668
HR
8
K%
13%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 330 PA.
Where he hits it
49%
Pull
28%
Center
23%
Oppo
Pull-air 37% of BIP · 92.6 mph · 34° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
5 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers
| Pitch | PA↓ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 45 | .220 | .220 | .353 | 22.6% | 11.1% | 40.5% | 2.7% | 89.1 mph | 11.5° |
| Cutter | 31 | .333 | .481 | .392 | 9.8% | 9.7% | 36.0% | 8.0% | 89.2 mph | 23.4° |
| Sinker | 31 | .214 | .214 | .298 | 6.0% | 3.2% | 46.4% | 0.0% | 91.5 mph | 1.1° |
| Slider | 26 | .217 | .435 | .313 | 26.8% | 26.9% | 68.8% | 18.8% | 93.6 mph | 17.9° |
| Curveball | 21 | .150 | .250 | .246 | 22.2% | 28.6% | 35.3% | 5.9% | 85.2 mph | 14.4° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.