MLB · AL Central

Miguel Vargas

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago White Sox3BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Miguel Vargas has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
60%70%65%
Over 1.5▼ cold
10%17%19%
Over 2.5
0%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
10%17%19%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
30%30%36%
Over 2.5▼ cold
10%23%24%
Over 3.5▼ cold
10%20%22%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.239↓

OBP

.350

SLG

.467

OPS

.817

17%

Last 10: 7-for-36 (.194) · 1 HR · 9 K · 1 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 337 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.430

Avg Exit V

89.9 mph

Barrel %

14.5%

Hard-Hit %

53.3%

Chase %

20.7%

Whiff %

16.6%

K %

17.2%

BB %

13.4%

Where he hits it

46%

Pull

28%

Center

26%

Oppo

Pull-air 32% of BIP · 96.7 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP1.078OPS103 PA

vs RHP.703OPS234 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	23	.137	.342	.359	17.2%	13.0%	42.9%	8.0%	82.1 mph	4.8°
Changeup	28	.375	.661	.500	5.4%	3.6%	50.0%	18.3%	91.6 mph	19.9°
Sinker	71	.189	.456	.407	6.5%	14.1%	48.9%	16.1%	92.0 mph	14.4°
Slider	84	.281	.451	.359	22.4%	21.4%	41.2%	12.6%	86.9 mph	19.3°
Four-seam	101	.215	.486	.407	21.9%	22.8%	46.7%	18.3%	94.3 mph	29.2°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.342

xSLG

.678

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.9

EV90

104.0

Launch angle

19.5°

Sweet-spot%

42.3%

Avg distance

346 ft

EV on barrels

104.4

EV on hard-hit

101.8

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

69.6%

O-Contact%

76.8%

Z-Contact%

85.4%

Contact%

83.4%

SwStr%

7.4%

CSW%

22.3%

In-zone%

48.7%

1st-pitch swing%

33.8%

2-strike K%

33.9%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.452

7d K%

26.9%

7d Barrel%

16.7%

7d Whiff%

19.1%

14d xwOBA(con)

.502

14d K%

19.6%

14d Barrel%

17.1%

30d xwOBA(con)

.454

30d K%

18.8%

30d Barrel%

12.8%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.382

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.441

Behind xwOBA(con)

.409

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.389

Ahead Whiff%

16.7%

2-strike Whiff%

15.9%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.330

RISP

.399

Loaded

2.000

High leverage

.392

Clutch

.262

Innings 1-3

.485

Innings 4-6

.439

Innings 7+

.350

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees · Jun 17, 2026 · +140

WIN

Miguel Vargas OVER 0.5 HR

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LOSS

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