MLB · AL Central
Miguel Vargas
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups
The read
Elite power and contact quality, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Cooling off over the last ten.
Prop hit rates
How often Miguel Vargas has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.560%60%64%
- Over 1.5▼ cold0%17%19%
- Over 2.50%7%5%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.520%17%19%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.5▼ cold30%43%39%
- Over 2.520%23%25%
- Over 3.520%20%22%
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At a glance
AVG
.236↓
OBP
.338
SLG
.472
OPS
.810
HR
23
K%
17%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 476 PA.
Where he hits it
47%
Pull
29%
Center
24%
Oppo
Pull-air 33% of BIP · 97.3 mph · 36° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands
| Pitch | PA↑ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 30 | .100 | .250 | .379 | 16.6% | 13.3% | 45.7% | 6.7% | 83.3 mph | 4.4° |
| Cutter | 33 | .305 | .691 | .422 | 28.6% | 12.1% | 41.0% | 16.1% | 86.7 mph | 17.7° |
| Changeup | 41 | .297 | .514 | .422 | 11.8% | 12.2% | 54.2% | 15.0% | 93.0 mph | 20.7° |
| Slider | 103 | .295 | .481 | .372 | 22.9% | 19.4% | 39.9% | 13.8% | 87.4 mph | 19.2° |
| Sinker | 107 | .244 | .539 | .416 | 6.3% | 13.1% | 47.6% | 15.9% | 91.4 mph | 16.9° |
| Four-seam | 153 | .193 | .410 | .375 | 21.2% | 22.2% | 50.6% | 14.7% | 94.4 mph | 27.7° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.
Recent SkegBets picks
Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Total Bases
Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays · Jul 31, 2026 · +130
Miguel Vargas UNDER 0.5 Hits
Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox · Jul 7, 2026 · +176
Miguel Vargas UNDER 0.5 Hits
Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians · Jul 5, 2026 · +178
Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Total Bases
Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees · Jun 17, 2026 · +140
Miguel Vargas OVER 0.5 HR
Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies · Jun 5, 2026 · +460