MLB · AL Central

Miguel Vargas

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago White Sox3BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Miguel Vargas has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
50%67%65%
Over 1.5▼ cold
0%13%18%
Over 2.5
0%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
10%17%20%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▼ cold
20%27%35%
Over 2.5▼ cold
10%23%25%
Over 3.5▼ cold
10%20%22%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.235↓

OBP

.348

SLG

.459

OPS

.806

17%

Last 10: 7-for-36 (.194) · 0 HR · 8 K · 1 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 328 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.423

Avg Exit V

90.0 mph

Barrel %

14.1%

Hard-Hit %

53.2%

Chase %

20.7%

Whiff %

16.8%

K %

17.4%

BB %

13.4%

Where he hits it

46%

Pull

27%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 32% of BIP · 96.5 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP1.056OPS100 PA

vs RHP.698OPS228 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

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5 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	100	.218	.494	.394	22.1%	23.0%	45.9%	16.8%	94.1 mph	29.3°
Slider	83	.273	.408	.353	22.6%	21.7%	40.3%	11.3%	86.7 mph	19.1°
Sinker	70	.192	.463	.413	5.8%	12.9%	49.0%	16.2%	92.0 mph	14.4°
Cutter	22	.292	.530	.366	28.9%	13.6%	30.5%	5.7%	84.3 mph	17.7°
Curveball	22	.151	.379	.360	17.4%	13.6%	47.1%	9.1%	82.1 mph	4.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.338

xSLG

.665

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.9

EV90

104.0

Launch angle

19.8°

Sweet-spot%

42.3%

Avg distance

348 ft

EV on barrels

104.5

EV on hard-hit

101.8

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

70.1%

O-Contact%

76.8%

Z-Contact%

85.1%

Contact%

83.2%

SwStr%

7.5%

CSW%

22.3%

In-zone%

48.8%

1st-pitch swing%

34.8%

2-strike K%

33.7%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.436

7d K%

29.2%

7d Barrel%

17.6%

7d Whiff%

18.6%

14d xwOBA(con)

.454

14d K%

17.4%

14d Barrel%

13.9%

30d xwOBA(con)

.437

30d K%

18.8%

30d Barrel%

13.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.382

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.416

Behind xwOBA(con)

.413

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.389

Ahead Whiff%

16.7%

2-strike Whiff%

15.6%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.326

RISP

.405

Loaded

2.000

High leverage

.395

Clutch

.260

Innings 1-3

.468

Innings 4-6

.435

Innings 7+

.352

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees · Jun 17, 2026 · +140

WIN

Miguel Vargas OVER 0.5 HR

Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies · Jun 5, 2026 · +460

LOSS

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