MLB · AL Central

Nick Loftin

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Kansas City Royals2B · SPBats: R · Throws: R
FormHotPowerBelow avg

The read

League-average power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Nick Loftin has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    60%50%51%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    40%17%16%
  • Over 2.5
    10%3%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    20%10%7%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    50%33%36%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    50%27%22%
  • Over 3.5▲ hot
    30%13%9%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.252↑

OBP

.348

SLG

.427

OPS

.776

HR

3

K%

13%

Last 10: 12-for-35 (.343) · 2 HR · 6 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 155 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.327
28
Avg Exit V
87.8 mph
41
Barrel %
7.1%
45
Hard-Hit %
38.0%
20
Chase %
21.9%
91
Whiff %
14.4%
90
K %
12.9%
93
BB %
11.0%
76

Where he hits it

17%LF29%LCF18%CF15%RCF12%RF← Pull

46%

Pull

30%

Center

24%

Oppo

Pull-air 32% of BIP · 93.5 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.820OPS73 PA
vs RHP.738OPS82 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Four-seam53.256.487.3265.7%11.3%31.8%9.1%87.3 mph22.0°
Changeup19.291.291.30621.8%10.5%44.9%0.0%89.9 mph10.5°
Cutter14.226.619.36715.3%0.0%52.7%20.5%89.2 mph16.9°
Curveball6.4001.000.55133.3%33.3%66.7%33.3%91.4 mph-1.3°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.306
xSLG
.464
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
110.8
EV90
100.8
Launch angle
13.7°
Sweet-spot%
38.9%
Avg distance
247 ft
EV on barrels
101.3
EV on hard-hit
99.9
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
60.6%
O-Contact%
68.8%
Z-Contact%
91.9%
Contact%
85.6%
SwStr%
5.9%
CSW%
25.2%
In-zone%
49.0%
1st-pitch swing%
19.9%
2-strike K%
27.8%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.464
7d K%
15.4%
7d Barrel%
15.0%
7d Whiff%
14.0%
14d xwOBA(con)
.429
14d K%
14.3%
14d Barrel%
9.4%
30d xwOBA(con)
.357
30d K%
14.1%
30d Barrel%
7.9%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.321
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.343
Behind xwOBA(con)
.347
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.287
Ahead Whiff%
10.5%
2-strike Whiff%
17.7%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.336
RISP
.355
Loaded
.625
High leverage
.352
Clutch
.285
Innings 1-3
.398
Innings 4-6
.298
Innings 7+
.313

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Attack zones

13%13%25%50%

13%

Heart

50%

Shadow

25%

Chase

13%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 4.9 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date
Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA
Slider
25%
Curve
13%
Other
63%
PitchUsageVeloSpinBreakZone%SwStr%xwOBA
Slider25.0%49.411247.90.0%0.0%—
Curve12.5%44.2101010.40.0%0.0%—

Based on 8 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above
xwOBA allowed
.300
1st-pitch strike%
33.3%
Putaway%
0.0%
Recent formlast 5 starts
L5 ERA
0.00
L5 FIP
3.10
L5 K/9
0.0
L5 BB/9
0.0
L5 HR/9
0.0
Pitches/start
8.0
Platoon & times-through
vs LHB xwOBA
.900
vs RHB xwOBA
.000
1st time xwOBA
.300
Inn 7+ ERA
3.90
Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo
7d xwOBA
.300
7d K%
0.0%
7d velo
56.3
14d xwOBA
.300
14d K%
0.0%
30d xwOBA
.300
30d K%
0.0%
30d velo
56.3

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nick Loftin OVER 1.5 Total Bases

St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals · Jun 18, 2026 · +175

WIN

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