MLB · NL Central

Nico Hoerner

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs2BBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Nico Hoerner has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    50%63%69%
  • Over 1.5
    20%13%21%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    20%7%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    0%0%5%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%30%35%
  • Over 2.5
    20%7%13%
  • Over 3.5▲ hot
    20%7%9%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.241↓

OBP

.317

SLG

.346

OPS

.663

HR

4

K%

7%

Last 10: 10-for-48 (.208) · 0 HR · 6 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 356 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.309
16
Avg Exit V
85.8 mph
22
Barrel %
1.0%
2
Hard-Hit %
30.7%
7
Chase %
30.3%
47
Whiff %
10.2%
99
K %
7.3%
100
BB %
9.3%
60

Where he hits it

19%LF22%LCF21%CF17%RCF16%RF← Pull

35%

Pull

35%

Center

31%

Oppo

Pull-air 22% of BIP · 85.6 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.813OPS98 PA
vs RHP.605OPS258 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter6.500.500.50816.7%0.0%50.0%0.0%95.7 mph2.3°
Curveball7.143.286.3620.0%0.0%28.6%0.0%83.8 mph10.3°
Slider13.545.818.42613.0%0.0%18.2%0.0%84.8 mph13.2°
Sinker14.429.643.3713.6%7.1%42.9%0.0%90.4 mph4.5°
Four-seam33.310.483.3733.5%3.0%32.1%3.6%87.0 mph23.1°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.318
xSLG
.403
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
105.8
EV90
100.2
Launch angle
12.0°
Sweet-spot%
37.2%
Avg distance
251 ft
EV on barrels
98.7
EV on hard-hit
99.1
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
57.9%
O-Contact%
77.8%
Z-Contact%
96.7%
Contact%
89.8%
SwStr%
4.4%
CSW%
24.5%
In-zone%
47.7%
1st-pitch swing%
18.8%
2-strike K%
17.4%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.334
7d K%
8.0%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
12.8%
14d xwOBA(con)
.286
14d K%
11.5%
14d Barrel%
0.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.305
30d K%
7.0%
30d Barrel%
0.0%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.331
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.298
Behind xwOBA(con)
.290
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.286
Ahead Whiff%
8.2%
2-strike Whiff%
8.3%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.310
RISP
.291
Loaded
.169
High leverage
.323
Clutch
.297
Innings 1-3
.292
Innings 4-6
.326
Innings 7+
.311

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nico Hoerner OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs · Jun 16, 2026 · +165

LOSS

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