MLB · NL Central

Nico Hoerner

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs2BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Nico Hoerner has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
50%63%69%
Over 1.5
20%13%21%
Over 2.5▲ hot
20%7%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
0%0%5%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%30%35%
Over 2.5
20%7%13%
Over 3.5▲ hot
20%7%9%

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At a glance

AVG

.241↓

OBP

.317

SLG

.346

OPS

.663

Last 10: 10-for-48 (.208) · 0 HR · 6 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 356 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.309

Avg Exit V

85.8 mph

Barrel %

1.0%

Hard-Hit %

30.7%

Chase %

30.3%

Whiff %

10.2%

K %

7.3%

100

BB %

9.3%

Where he hits it

35%

Pull

35%

Center

31%

Oppo

Pull-air 22% of BIP · 85.6 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.813OPS98 PA

vs RHP.605OPS258 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	19	.123	.175	.305	12.6%	15.8%	10.5%	0.0%	82.8 mph	11.5°
Cutter	25	.357	.405	.373	15.2%	8.0%	29.9%	0.0%	87.4 mph	20.7°
Changeup	36	.032	.032	.189	24.1%	25.0%	11.5%	0.0%	80.7 mph	6.6°
Slider	67	.374	.522	.335	14.7%	4.5%	27.2%	1.6%	84.9 mph	9.8°
Sinker	76	.242	.341	.331	2.5%	5.3%	30.1%	0.0%	86.7 mph	3.8°
Four-seam	119	.186	.284	.351	5.2%	4.2%	33.3%	3.9%	87.5 mph	19.2°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.318

xSLG

.403

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

105.8

EV90

100.2

Launch angle

12.0°

Sweet-spot%

37.2%

Avg distance

251 ft

EV on barrels

98.7

EV on hard-hit

99.1

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

57.9%

O-Contact%

77.8%

Z-Contact%

96.7%

Contact%

89.8%

SwStr%

4.4%

CSW%

24.5%

In-zone%

47.7%

1st-pitch swing%

18.8%

2-strike K%

17.4%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.334

7d K%

8.0%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

12.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.286

14d K%

11.5%

14d Barrel%

0.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.305

30d K%

7.0%

30d Barrel%

0.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.331

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.298

Behind xwOBA(con)

.290

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.286

Ahead Whiff%

8.2%

2-strike Whiff%

8.3%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.310

RISP

.291

Loaded

.169

High leverage

.323

Clutch

.297

Innings 1-3

.292

Innings 4-6

.326

Innings 7+

.311

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nico Hoerner OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs · Jun 16, 2026 · +165

LOSS

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