MLB · NL Central

Nico Hoerner

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs2BBats: R · Throws: R

FormColdPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Nico Hoerner has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
50%60%68%
Over 1.5▼ cold
10%13%20%
Over 2.5
10%3%7%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
0%0%5%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
30%27%33%
Over 2.5
10%3%12%
Over 3.5
10%3%8%

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At a glance

AVG

.235↓

OBP

.313

SLG

.328

OPS

.641

Last 10: 7-for-43 (.163) · 0 HR · 5 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 342 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.308

Avg Exit V

85.8 mph

Barrel %

1.1%

Hard-Hit %

30.6%

Chase %

30.6%

Whiff %

10.1%

K %

7.3%

100

BB %

9.4%

Where he hits it

35%

Pull

35%

Center

30%

Oppo

Pull-air 23% of BIP · 85.6 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.773OPS95 PA

vs RHP.588OPS247 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	18	.130	.185	.314	13.3%	16.7%	11.1%	0.0%	82.1 mph	13.5°
Cutter	25	.357	.405	.373	15.2%	8.0%	29.9%	0.0%	87.4 mph	20.7°
Changeup	36	.032	.032	.189	24.3%	25.0%	11.5%	0.0%	80.7 mph	6.6°
Slider	65	.370	.507	.335	14.4%	3.1%	26.0%	1.6%	84.7 mph	9.7°
Sinker	76	.242	.341	.331	2.5%	5.3%	30.1%	0.0%	86.7 mph	3.8°
Four-seam	118	.188	.287	.354	5.3%	4.2%	33.7%	4.0%	87.6 mph	19.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.317

xSLG

.402

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

105.8

EV90

100.1

Launch angle

12.0°

Sweet-spot%

36.6%

Avg distance

249 ft

EV on barrels

98.7

EV on hard-hit

99.1

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

57.0%

O-Contact%

77.6%

Z-Contact%

97.1%

Contact%

89.9%

SwStr%

4.4%

CSW%

24.7%

In-zone%

47.7%

1st-pitch swing%

18.4%

2-strike K%

17.4%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.280

7d K%

16.0%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

12.0%

14d xwOBA(con)

.289

14d K%

10.0%

14d Barrel%

0.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.293

30d K%

7.0%

30d Barrel%

0.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.340

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.298

Behind xwOBA(con)

.284

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.292

Ahead Whiff%

8.0%

2-strike Whiff%

8.1%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.293

RISP

.298

Loaded

.180

High leverage

.311

Clutch

.303

Innings 1-3

.289

Innings 4-6

.332

Innings 7+

.306

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

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