MLB · NL East

Otto Lopez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Miami MarlinsSSBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Otto Lopez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    80%77%80%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    30%40%41%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    0%10%11%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%7%8%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    50%50%53%
  • Over 2.5
    20%23%26%
  • Over 3.5
    10%20%18%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.339↓

OBP

.372

SLG

.481

OPS

.853

HR

6

K%

14%

Last 10: 11-for-37 (.297) · 1 HR · 3 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 341 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.372
58
Avg Exit V
89.4 mph
61
Barrel %
7.0%
43
Hard-Hit %
48.5%
59
Chase %
34.2%
26
Whiff %
18.9%
73
K %
14.1%
89
BB %
4.7%
12

Where he hits it

14%LF26%LCF20%CF21%RCF14%RF← Pull

36%

Pull

29%

Center

35%

Oppo

Pull-air 15% of BIP · 98.3 mph · 31° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP1.085OPS77 PA
vs RHP.785OPS264 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter17.294.353.24421.4%5.9%37.5%0.0%85.0 mph-7.6°
Changeup35.121.151.12131.9%37.1%22.7%0.0%85.0 mph8.2°
Sinker54.386.614.4976.0%5.6%65.1%11.6%95.9 mph-1.2°
Slider71.304.406.29328.9%16.9%31.1%4.9%84.2 mph8.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.348
xSLG
.532
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
112.8
EV90
105.6
Launch angle
6.2°
Sweet-spot%
32.0%
Avg distance
230 ft
EV on barrels
104.1
EV on hard-hit
101.7
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
62.4%
O-Contact%
62.7%
Z-Contact%
91.9%
Contact%
81.1%
SwStr%
9.0%
CSW%
27.9%
In-zone%
48.3%
1st-pitch swing%
19.7%
2-strike K%
31.0%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.378
7d K%
8.0%
7d Barrel%
9.5%
7d Whiff%
23.8%
14d xwOBA(con)
.305
14d K%
5.4%
14d Barrel%
4.3%
30d xwOBA(con)
.363
30d K%
10.5%
30d Barrel%
5.3%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.263
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.459
Behind xwOBA(con)
.305
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.343
Ahead Whiff%
16.6%
2-strike Whiff%
18.6%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.393
RISP
.319
Loaded
.000
High leverage
.416
Clutch
.410
Innings 1-3
.334
Innings 4-6
.365
Innings 7+
.432

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Otto Lopez OVER 0.5 HR

San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins · Jun 19, 2026 · +1100

LOSS

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