MLB · NL East

Otto Lopez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Miami MarlinsSSBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Otto Lopez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
80%77%80%
Over 1.5▼ cold
30%40%41%
Over 2.5▼ cold
0%10%11%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%7%8%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
50%50%53%
Over 2.5
20%23%26%
Over 3.5
10%20%18%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.339↓

OBP

.372

SLG

.481

OPS

.853

14%

Last 10: 11-for-37 (.297) · 1 HR · 3 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 341 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.372

Avg Exit V

89.4 mph

Barrel %

7.0%

Hard-Hit %

48.5%

Chase %

34.2%

Whiff %

18.9%

K %

14.1%

BB %

4.7%

Where he hits it

36%

Pull

29%

Center

35%

Oppo

Pull-air 15% of BIP · 98.3 mph · 31° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP1.085OPS77 PA

vs RHP.785OPS264 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

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5 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	23	.217	.304	.205	29.4%	30.4%	23.5%	5.9%	80.8 mph	-1.3°
Changeup	35	.121	.151	.121	31.9%	37.1%	22.7%	0.0%	85.0 mph	8.2°
Sinker	54	.386	.614	.497	6.0%	5.6%	65.1%	11.6%	95.9 mph	-1.2°
Four-seam	58	.385	.538	.430	5.1%	6.9%	61.2%	10.2%	94.9 mph	16.3°
Slider	71	.304	.406	.293	28.9%	16.9%	31.1%	4.9%	84.2 mph	8.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.348

xSLG

.532

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.8

EV90

105.6

Launch angle

6.2°

Sweet-spot%

32.0%

Avg distance

230 ft

EV on barrels

104.1

EV on hard-hit

101.7

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

62.4%

O-Contact%

62.7%

Z-Contact%

91.9%

Contact%

81.1%

SwStr%

9.0%

CSW%

27.9%

In-zone%

48.3%

1st-pitch swing%

19.7%

2-strike K%

31.0%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.378

7d K%

8.0%

7d Barrel%

9.5%

7d Whiff%

23.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.305

14d K%

5.4%

14d Barrel%

4.3%

30d xwOBA(con)

.363

30d K%

10.5%

30d Barrel%

5.3%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.263

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.459

Behind xwOBA(con)

.305

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.343

Ahead Whiff%

16.6%

2-strike Whiff%

18.6%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.393

RISP

.319

Loaded

.000

High leverage

.416

Clutch

.410

Innings 1-3

.334

Innings 4-6

.365

Innings 7+

.432

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Otto Lopez OVER 0.5 HR

San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins · Jun 19, 2026 · +1100

LOSS

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