MLB · NL West

Ryne Nelson

Betting stats, pitch arsenal, opponent splits & prop matchups

Arizona DiamondbacksSPBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyStuffAverage

The read

Average swing-and-miss, though the run-prevention numbers run shaky.

On the mound

This season

ERA

4.97

WHIP

1.24

FIP

5.21

xERA

5.09

3-5 · 15 GS · 83.3 IP · 62 K · 22 BB · 18 HR

MLB avg · 4.20 ERA · 1.30 WHIP · 4.15 FIP

Last 5 starts

ERA

4.60

K/9

4.6

FIP

5.56

31.3 IP · 16 ER · 16 K · 6 BB

vCOL 8IP 1ER 3K
@SEA 5.1IP 4ER 3K
vLAD 7IP 2ER 3K
@MIA 4IP 7ER 2K
vLAA 7IP 2ER 5K

Opponent splits

Stat	vs Lefties	vs Righties
Opp BA	.210	.249
K%	14%	21%
HR allowed	10	8
Sample	186 BF	169 BF

Quality of stuff

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB pitchers (20+ IP) this season. The dot is this player; further right is better. Over 83.3 IP.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

ERA

4.97

FIP

5.21

xERA

5.09

WHIP

1.24

K %

19.2%

SwStr %

9.0%

Chase %

33.5%

Barrel %

10.5%

Attack zones

23%

Heart

42%

Shadow

23%

Chase

11%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 6.7 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date

Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA

4-Seam

57%

Sinker

Cutter

10%

Slider

20%

Curve

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Break	Zone%	SwStr%	xwOBA
4-Seam	56.6%	96.3	2287	0.9	57.2%	8.5%	.404
Slider	20.0%	88.7	2390	2.6	46.3%	13.1%	.404
Cutter	9.9%	93.0	2220	1.5	43.0%	5.5%	.338
Curve	9.5%	81.0	2654	4.1	29.3%	7.3%	.362
Sinker	3.7%	95.3	2116	1.0	43.8%	8.3%	.418

Based on 1,297 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.347

1st-pitch strike%

63.7%

Putaway%

35.4%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

5.34

L5 FIP

5.79

L5 K/9

5.0

L5 BB/9

1.9

L5 HR/9

2.2

Pitches/start

86.5

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.333

vs RHB xwOBA

.363

1st time xwOBA

.360

2nd time xwOBA

.327

3rd time xwOBA

.389

Inn 1-3 ERA

4.89

Inn 4-6 ERA

4.44

Inn 7+ ERA

2.22

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.447

7d K%

13.7%

7d velo

92.5

14d xwOBA

.377

14d K%

13.0%

30d xwOBA

.372

30d K%

11.7%

30d velo

93.2

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.