MLB · NL West

Willy Adames

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

San Francisco GiantsSSBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

Above-average power, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Willy Adames has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    60%57%58%
  • Over 1.5
    20%27%27%
  • Over 2.5
    0%3%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    30%27%17%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    50%43%39%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    50%40%30%
  • Over 3.5
    30%30%23%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.232

OBP

.278

SLG

.439

OPS

.717

HR

14

K%

27%

Last 10: 8-for-38 (.211) · 3 HR · 9 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 331 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.373
58
Avg Exit V
88.6 mph
51
Barrel %
9.5%
67
Hard-Hit %
45.7%
48
Chase %
32.3%
35
Whiff %
26.8%
26
K %
27.2%
21
BB %
5.7%
17

Where he hits it

29%LF22%LCF19%CF9%RCF14%RF← Pull

49%

Pull

27%

Center

24%

Oppo

Pull-air 35% of BIP · 95.5 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.619OPS85 PA
vs RHP.750OPS246 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball16.267.600.30941.7%37.5%44.4%0.0%90.1 mph23.4°
Changeup21.158.263.29040.0%38.1%27.3%18.2%86.5 mph24.6°
Cutter24.364.636.34622.4%8.3%45.5%13.6%88.0 mph31.5°
Sinker57.309.364.30313.5%10.5%33.3%2.0%88.4 mph16.8°
Four-seam63.233.633.32919.9%23.8%52.1%10.4%92.6 mph30.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.311
xSLG
.563
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
108.8
EV90
103.5
Launch angle
23.1°
Sweet-spot%
38.5%
Avg distance
294 ft
EV on barrels
103.7
EV on hard-hit
100.6
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
65.4%
O-Contact%
50.2%
Z-Contact%
85.4%
Contact%
73.2%
SwStr%
12.9%
CSW%
30.2%
In-zone%
48.3%
1st-pitch swing%
27.8%
2-strike K%
49.5%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.265
7d K%
25.0%
7d Barrel%
6.3%
7d Whiff%
37.0%
14d xwOBA(con)
.317
14d K%
20.4%
14d Barrel%
9.1%
30d xwOBA(con)
.372
30d K%
24.8%
30d Barrel%
10.3%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.303
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.412
Behind xwOBA(con)
.322
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.422
Ahead Whiff%
21.1%
2-strike Whiff%
30.2%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.353
RISP
.246
Loaded
.522
High leverage
.331
Clutch
.355
Innings 1-3
.431
Innings 4-6
.335
Innings 7+
.348

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Willy Adames OVER 1.5 Total Bases

San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins · Jun 20, 2026 · +174

LOSS

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