MLB · AL East

Wilyer Abreu

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red SoxOFBats: L · Throws: L
FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Above-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Wilyer Abreu has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    70%70%67%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    20%27%33%
  • Over 2.5
    0%3%7%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    20%13%13%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    30%40%40%
  • Over 2.5
    30%23%24%
  • Over 3.5
    20%17%16%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.272↓

OBP

.333

SLG

.440

OPS

.773

HR

10

K%

19%

Last 10: 9-for-37 (.243) · 2 HR · 6 K · 6 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 330 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.386
66
Avg Exit V
89.5 mph
62
Barrel %
11.4%
79
Hard-Hit %
47.5%
54
Chase %
31.1%
43
Whiff %
20.3%
66
K %
18.8%
69
BB %
8.8%
53

Where he hits it

13%LF22%LCF16%CF21%RCF21%RFPull →

39%

Pull

27%

Center

34%

Oppo

Pull-air 25% of BIP · 94.9 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.957OPS97 PA
vs RHP.696OPS233 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball5.7501.500.74216.7%0.0%50.0%25.0%94.5 mph24.3°
Cutter6.667.667.45811.1%0.0%33.3%0.0%91.8 mph12.3°
Four-seam18.143.143.27632.5%33.3%25.0%0.0%84.5 mph20.9°
Sinker29.429.643.37813.7%3.5%40.0%10.0%84.8 mph-1.7°
Slider31.393.571.33528.3%22.6%40.9%13.6%89.8 mph21.1°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.330
xSLG
.586
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
113.1
EV90
105.1
Launch angle
17.4°
Sweet-spot%
37.3%
Avg distance
352 ft
EV on barrels
104.5
EV on hard-hit
101.5
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
69.3%
O-Contact%
67.8%
Z-Contact%
85.5%
Contact%
79.8%
SwStr%
10.0%
CSW%
25.4%
In-zone%
48.1%
1st-pitch swing%
27.0%
2-strike K%
36.5%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.373
7d K%
8.0%
7d Barrel%
15.8%
7d Whiff%
23.9%
14d xwOBA(con)
.328
14d K%
12.5%
14d Barrel%
11.1%
30d xwOBA(con)
.358
30d K%
17.3%
30d Barrel%
11.3%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.391
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.372
Behind xwOBA(con)
.401
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.394
Ahead Whiff%
17.9%
2-strike Whiff%
19.7%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.375
RISP
.313
Loaded
.287
High leverage
.366
Clutch
.420
Innings 1-3
.379
Innings 4-6
.368
Innings 7+
.410

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Wilyer Abreu OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox · Jun 16, 2026 · +145

LOSS

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