MLB · AL East

Wilyer Abreu

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red SoxOFBats: L · Throws: L

FormColdPowerAbove avg

The read

Elite power and contact quality. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Wilyer Abreu has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
40%53%63%
Over 1.5▼ cold
0%10%26%
Over 2.5
0%3%6%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%13%13%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▼ cold
20%30%37%
Over 2.5▼ cold
10%13%21%
Over 3.5
10%13%15%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.242↓

OBP

.311

SLG

.423

OPS

.733

21%

Last 10: 4-for-44 (.091) · 1 HR · 15 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 470 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.390

Avg Exit V

89.5 mph

Barrel %

12.1%

Hard-Hit %

47.2%

Chase %

31.5%

Whiff %

21.6%

K %

21.3%

BB %

8.9%

Where he hits it

39%

Pull

27%

Center

33%

Oppo

Pull-air 24% of BIP · 96.4 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.952OPS150 PA

vs RHP.634OPS320 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	137	.225	.485	.322	22.3%	29.2%	49.6%	16.1%	92.1 mph	25.5°
Changeup	90	.218	.368	.299	28.4%	24.4%	44.8%	13.4%	89.5 mph	11.0°
Slider	79	.257	.414	.334	27.9%	22.8%	37.4%	13.2%	88.6 mph	23.6°
Sinker	72	.317	.475	.407	12.2%	6.9%	38.7%	9.6%	87.7 mph	6.7°
Cutter	43	.271	.425	.362	10.2%	14.0%	30.5%	11.1%	90.1 mph	23.2°
Curveball	33	.211	.421	.296	20.7%	24.2%	25.4%	8.5%	86.5 mph	32.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.329

xSLG

.599

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

113.1

EV90

105.6

Launch angle

18.6°

Sweet-spot%

37.0%

Avg distance

356 ft

EV on barrels

104.6

EV on hard-hit

101.9

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

68.9%

O-Contact%

65.0%

Z-Contact%

85.1%

Contact%

78.3%

SwStr%

10.6%

CSW%

25.8%

In-zone%

47.4%

1st-pitch swing%

26.8%

2-strike K%

41.0%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.264

7d K%

30.0%

7d Barrel%

5.3%

7d Whiff%

28.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.256

14d K%

29.1%

14d Barrel%

2.9%

30d xwOBA(con)

.415

30d K%

25.4%

30d Barrel%

15.9%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.367

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.407

Behind xwOBA(con)

.385

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.375

Ahead Whiff%

17.1%

2-strike Whiff%

20.9%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.351

RISP

.321

Loaded

.230

High leverage

.335

Clutch

.413

Innings 1-3

.397

Innings 4-6

.368

Innings 7+

.402

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Wilyer Abreu OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox · Jun 16, 2026 · +145

LOSS

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