MLB · AL East

Wilyer Abreu

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red SoxOFBats: L · Throws: L

FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Above-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Wilyer Abreu has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
70%70%67%
Over 1.5▼ cold
20%27%33%
Over 2.5
0%3%7%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
20%13%13%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▼ cold
30%40%40%
Over 2.5
30%23%24%
Over 3.5
20%17%16%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.272↓

OBP

.333

SLG

.440

OPS

.773

19%

Last 10: 9-for-37 (.243) · 2 HR · 6 K · 6 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 330 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.386

Avg Exit V

89.5 mph

Barrel %

11.4%

Hard-Hit %

47.5%

Chase %

31.1%

Whiff %

20.3%

K %

18.8%

BB %

8.8%

Where he hits it

39%

Pull

27%

Center

34%

Oppo

Pull-air 25% of BIP · 94.9 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.957OPS97 PA

vs RHP.696OPS233 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	17	.071	.214	.212	13.3%	17.6%	8.3%	0.0%	81.3 mph	38.8°
Sinker	22	.250	.300	.427	10.9%	9.1%	33.3%	11.1%	90.2 mph	17.2°
Cutter	25	.261	.522	.424	4.7%	12.0%	42.9%	19.1%	93.5 mph	24.8°
Slider	29	.231	.462	.420	27.1%	24.1%	45.0%	20.0%	89.0 mph	23.8°
Four-seam	74	.250	.484	.316	17.1%	24.3%	54.9%	13.7%	93.0 mph	22.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.330

xSLG

.586

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

113.1

EV90

105.1

Launch angle

17.4°

Sweet-spot%

37.3%

Avg distance

352 ft

EV on barrels

104.5

EV on hard-hit

101.5

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

69.3%

O-Contact%

67.8%

Z-Contact%

85.5%

Contact%

79.8%

SwStr%

10.0%

CSW%

25.4%

In-zone%

48.1%

1st-pitch swing%

27.0%

2-strike K%

36.5%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.373

7d K%

8.0%

7d Barrel%

15.8%

7d Whiff%

23.9%

14d xwOBA(con)

.328

14d K%

12.5%

14d Barrel%

11.1%

30d xwOBA(con)

.358

30d K%

17.3%

30d Barrel%

11.3%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.391

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.372

Behind xwOBA(con)

.401

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.394

Ahead Whiff%

17.9%

2-strike Whiff%

19.7%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.375

RISP

.313

Loaded

.287

High leverage

.366

Clutch

.420

Innings 1-3

.379

Innings 4-6

.368

Innings 7+

.410

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Wilyer Abreu OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox · Jun 16, 2026 · +145

LOSS

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