MLB · AL West

Yordan Alvarez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Houston AstrosDHBats: L · Throws: R
FormColdPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Yordan Alvarez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    80%77%72%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    20%33%33%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    0%13%10%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    10%23%27%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%50%47%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    30%40%38%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    10%27%28%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.308↓

OBP

.398

SLG

.607

OPS

1.005

HR

25

K%

17%

Last 10: 10-for-39 (.256) · 1 HR · 6 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 354 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.561
100
Avg Exit V
94.4 mph
99
Barrel %
18.7%
98
Hard-Hit %
60.0%
93
Chase %
27.1%
65
Whiff %
16.7%
83
K %
16.7%
80
BB %
11.9%
84

Where he hits it

14%LF15%LCF18%CF16%RCF28%RFPull →

43%

Pull

30%

Center

26%

Oppo

Pull-air 28% of BIP · 100.3 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.931OPS98 PA
vs RHP1.034OPS256 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter29.300.665.52116.2%20.7%46.0%19.5%95.1 mph13.0°
Curveball35.381.876.60226.4%20.0%64.4%24.4%96.6 mph17.5°
Changeup59.316.479.41917.8%15.3%51.0%11.2%91.8 mph20.1°
Sinker59.349.504.45711.2%13.6%58.8%10.2%95.5 mph10.9°
Slider64.308.690.49118.1%14.1%33.4%25.7%91.3 mph23.2°
Four-seam89.324.716.48715.9%21.3%65.4%19.6%97.3 mph21.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.431
xSLG
.904
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
117.8
EV90
110.5
Launch angle
19.1°
Sweet-spot%
46.8%
Avg distance
376 ft
EV on barrels
107.4
EV on hard-hit
104.4
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
62.6%
O-Contact%
66.8%
Z-Contact%
91.8%
Contact%
83.3%
SwStr%
7.0%
CSW%
22.8%
In-zone%
43.8%
1st-pitch swing%
34.8%
2-strike K%
33.5%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.471
7d K%
14.8%
7d Barrel%
21.4%
7d Whiff%
10.3%
14d xwOBA(con)
.486
14d K%
11.1%
14d Barrel%
20.5%
30d xwOBA(con)
.588
30d K%
17.5%
30d Barrel%
21.8%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.603
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.604
Behind xwOBA(con)
.563
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.587
Ahead Whiff%
15.1%
2-strike Whiff%
17.2%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.448
RISP
.534
Loaded
.817
High leverage
.461
Clutch
.520
Innings 1-3
.619
Innings 4-6
.558
Innings 7+
.473

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.