MLB · AL West

Yordan Alvarez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Houston AstrosDHBats: L · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Yordan Alvarez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
70%63%69%
Over 1.5
40%40%35%
Over 2.5
10%13%11%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
30%27%28%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
50%50%48%
Over 2.5▼ cold
30%37%38%
Over 3.5
30%27%29%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.307

OBP

.392

SLG

.611

OPS

1.003

17%

Last 10: 12-for-39 (.308) · 4 HR · 9 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 474 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.555

100

Avg Exit V

94.7 mph

Barrel %

18.5%

Hard-Hit %

59.7%

Chase %

27.5%

Whiff %

17.1%

K %

17.3%

BB %

11.4%

Where he hits it

45%

Pull

28%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 29% of BIP · 101.0 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.857OPS123 PA

vs RHP1.056OPS351 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	125	.321	.748	.521	16.2%	17.6%	61.4%	20.5%	97.0 mph	22.8°
Changeup	86	.331	.455	.371	18.4%	17.4%	51.6%	9.3%	92.4 mph	19.8°
Sinker	80	.365	.627	.464	8.7%	15.0%	56.6%	14.9%	95.2 mph	11.5°
Slider	80	.299	.674	.471	20.6%	18.8%	37.1%	24.3%	92.2 mph	23.6°
Cutter	42	.261	.621	.507	15.4%	19.0%	54.3%	20.6%	95.5 mph	15.8°
Curveball	38	.376	.823	.572	26.5%	21.1%	60.6%	23.0%	95.5 mph	18.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.425

xSLG

.902

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

118.5

EV90

110.5

Launch angle

19.7°

Sweet-spot%

43.5%

Avg distance

367 ft

EV on barrels

107.8

EV on hard-hit

104.5

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

61.7%

O-Contact%

67.4%

Z-Contact%

91.5%

Contact%

82.9%

SwStr%

7.0%

CSW%

23.1%

In-zone%

42.9%

1st-pitch swing%

33.1%

2-strike K%

35.1%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.517

7d K%

21.4%

7d Barrel%

7.1%

7d Whiff%

23.7%

14d xwOBA(con)

.576

14d K%

18.5%

14d Barrel%

18.2%

30d xwOBA(con)

.554

30d K%

17.3%

30d Barrel%

18.6%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.568

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.510

Behind xwOBA(con)

.570

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.604

Ahead Whiff%

15.5%

2-strike Whiff%

17.7%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.437

RISP

.567

Loaded

.863

High leverage

.470

Clutch

.561

Innings 1-3

.586

Innings 4-6

.575

Innings 7+

.486

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.