At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
255.3
▼ L5 247.4
Pass TD/g
2.18
▲ L5 2.80
Comp/g
22.7
▲ L5 23.8
Att/g
32.9
▼ L5 31.6
INT/g
0.24
▼ L5 0.00
Rush yds/g
5.9
▼ L5 5.0
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 76% | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| 224.5 | 71% | 60% | 89% | 50% |
| 249.5 | 59% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| 274.5 | 35% | 40% | 44% | 25% |
| 299.5 | 24% | 20% | 22% | 25% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 100% | 78% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 82% | 100% | 78% | 88% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 60% | 44% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 20% | 22% | 13% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 82% | 80% | 100% | 63% |
| 19.5 | 82% | 80% | 100% | 63% |
| 21.5 | 71% | 80% | 78% | 63% |
| 23.5 | 35% | 60% | 56% | 13% |
| 25.5 | 29% | 40% | 44% | 13% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 18% | 0% | 11% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
3.7
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
270.2
9 g
Away
238.5
8 g
In wins
266.1
13 g
In losses
220.3
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs SF | L 10-13 | +5.5 | 47 | 20 | 29 | 225 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 220 | -1.1 |
| 1 | @ NO | L 3-38 | +4 | 49 | 15 | 28 | 133 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 238 | -15.9 |
| 2 | vs DET | W 35-17 | +11.5 | 49.5 | 22 | 27 | 255 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 258 | 17.6 |
| 3 | @ SF | W 30-28 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 23 | 33 | 261 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 354 | 7.6 |
| 4 | vs PIT | W 27-17 | +6.5 | 45 | 20 | 36 | 248 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 344 | 3.6 |
| 5 | @ CIN | W 25-22 | +2 | 50 | 27 | 39 | 344 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 349 | 9.1 |
| 6 | @ CHI | W 24-14 | +5.5 | 44 | 17 | 23 | 195 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 195 | 6.8 |
| 7 | vs WAS | W 24-10 | +8.5 | 48 | 27 | 35 | 274 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 204 | 10.9 |
| 8 | @ ARI | W 24-21 | -6.5 | 51 | 22 | 37 | 184 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 165 | 1.4 |
| 10 | vs SEA | W 17-0 | +3 | 49.5 | 23 | 37 | 292 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 232 | 1.7 |
| 11 | @ MIN | L 31-34 | +1 | 48 | 23 | 33 | 385 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 261 | 23.3 |
| 12 | vs LA | W 36-28 | -2 | 47 | 28 | 45 | 307 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 426 | 9.3 |
| 14 | vs CHI | W 45-30 | +11.5 | 43 | 29 | 37 | 341 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 253 | 15.8 |
| 15 | @ BAL | W 31-30 | +9.5 | 45.5 | 23 | 31 | 268 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 286 | 19.2 |
| 16 | vs CLE | W 24-22 | +7.5 | 46.5 | 24 | 34 | 202 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 5.7 |
| 17 | vs MIN | W 37-10 | +13 | 42 | 29 | 38 | 288 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 10.0 |
| 18 | @ DET | L 30-37 | +4 | 45 | 14 | 18 | 138 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 108 | 3.7 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).